midatlanticweather

I can relate to this so much, but definitely have been able to be better at dealing with it! I do still struggle when people to the east and especially to the south get more snow than me, but, honestly, snow lovers in these places have to be excited, and climo says that we will do better over time than these locations. I think of the snow weenies that will become meteorologists from snows like this one, and I remember being one myself. The advent of the Internet and technology has really made it fun to share in these events and be excited. I find it funny when I watch people live in the storm for a bit and then go outside and think I should be seeing the same thing out my door! Additionally, we have had some amazing storms that others have envied as well! For me Blizzard of 1996, PD2, 2010 triple winners, and then the Blizzard of 2016. I considered each a once in a lifetime experience, only to have another one! We will get another one! It takes time and luck and this was not our time, but it is for others! Be happy for them! That is what I try and do. The most excruciating events are the ones that seem forecasted with almost certainty that suddenly become nothing or small here. I literally have some depression moments! I have the same as soon as a big storm ends! But the rarity makes them all great! Solid snows in the Mid-Atlantic are rare enough to make each one super special! Jut remember, snow here is something that takes luck! Sometimes the cards are in our favor and we have a better chance to be lucky. Most the time, though, the harder it is to draw the right cards, the more likely we are to fail. Sometime, Blackjack just takes 2 cards.. but often, in our area, it takes 5! And the more it takes, the more the opportunity for a miss! Anyways, hang in there! Also, consider driving to a location that will get pummeled sometime! It can be fun!

Well the sky is white. Loudoun is really missing the snow love this year. 32/21 and dry

Trust them with details, no, but seen if the physics that are being used also show solutions that are lining up with other models, not the worst idea. If they are radically different then I would not trust them, but if they back up other models and raises my confidence a small amount.. Small amount though

NEXT!

We only need One pbp. Randy's are better and faster. Just hold and comment on that one. I have no idea why we need 2 people saying stuff.

Still would like some adjustments but this is looking better and better. Now.. Is it just the NAM being the NAM

Nam CPU

Zoom call this evening?? @psuhoffman

I have not been a Cohen fan that much, but he has been pretty good at picking these things up this year! I hope he keeps that streak!

I am not sure what to root for now! Better northern stream? More of a dig? Less southern low? Some amazing miracle that the southern low is somehow too far east and we get plastered? I am convinced Loudoun gets table scraps! I guess I root that someone in the sub-forum is buried while I watch in envy! LOL

I saw someone post some maps of that as well. Painful. I have to say, all misses suck and I hate them, but I hate misses to the north way less than misses to the south and east. I expect New England to get big storms, but not the south. OK - back on topic.. I am not feeling excited about Friday.

THIS LINE is what everyone needs to be prepared for- some region will likely see some less ideal amounts! NWS Discussion: Caution should be given in not only the track of the surface low, but also if the surface low tracks too far west, there will be a region that receives lower QPF due to being displaced from the surface low and associated dynamics and the dynamics of being under the ULL. But, most are already mentioning all the caveats in this set up..

Dusted overnight. 27

This is getting repetitively frustrating! BUT, a storm came up this way from NC before.. so we still have hope

10.3

Eastern NC gets in on the action again! Snow on snow for them!

That was closer than it looked at first. Now NE is going to get slammed.

Wow! What an odd year for systems coming from the south!

I see what you are seeing.. lets see if it does anything!

Euro looks cold and boring so far

Using old GFS logic, we know it is too far south and east!

I see the devil in that snow map. Unless you know how to play the fiddle, don't bet on it!

I can use the warmth to move the last bit of snow from a few places before it glaciates this afternoon/tonight! I can also shovel a couple puddles! What an event! It was craptastic!

Ditto.. 50.. Oh ya and stupid arguments on evolution and stuff between us two.. The good old days. Much respect to you after our stupid back and forth! So long ago