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Kasper

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Everything posted by Kasper

  1. I’m sorry but is that a P……
  2. I’m literally probably gonna have a stroke by Sunday watching this system!
  3. The next person that says North of 40 lol
  4. I’ll take that 4.1 inches and call it a day
  5. Yep, I’ve never seen anything even remotely close to tracking like that, looks like it will be several interesting days watching models. I’m with @unclenasty a miller b is bad news for the valley!
  6. Well I’m gonna head back over to after that run!
  7. NWS getting onboard: Wednesday Night through Friday At the start of the extended period, a mid/upper shortwave will be diving out of the northern CONUS with surface high pressure receding to the east. The passage of this shortwave will provide increasing PoPs into the day on Thursday and Thursday night via increased vertical motion and a more W/NW flow pattern near the 850mb level. Recent model runs continue to suggest a more saturated column, even in the lower elevations with 1,000-500mb thickness values falling below 5,400 meters area-wide. As such, this will justify a continued expansion of PoPs into the region with orographic considerations suggesting increasing potential of accumulations in the higher terrain. As of yet, low-level WAA during the daytime on Thursday looks to keep the boundary layer largely too warm in the lower elevations for much of the region to transition to snow before moisture exits. Nevertheless, potential does exist for evaporative cooling to help transition at the surface even in the lower elevations. With continued N/NW flow and sufficient low-level moisture into Friday, PoPs will be lingered during this timeframe. Overall, the pattern does not suggest too ideal of a NW flow setup, but light accumulations in the higher terrain at a minimum are increasingly likely. Heading into the weekend, focus turns towards a shortwave and developing system out of the Great Plains via cyclogenesis. Saturday through Tuesday The aforementioned developing system will be the feature of focus during the weekend with potential for significant impacts in portions of the eastern CONUS. Much of the uncertainty lies with the evolution of the upper pattern as well as the the track of the surface low. Based on the latest GEFS mean, GFS, and ECMWF deterministic runs, the upper-level pattern and surface low track do support potential for widespread accumulating significant snowfall across the region. It is important to note that, as we have seen with recent snowfall events, a change in the track or evolution of the system can make or break potential for snowfall in the area based on downsloping and other factors. However, with the ensemble and deterministic consensus with these model runs, confidence has increased sufficiently for HWO wording to mention this potential. It is also important to note that, depending on how the pattern evolves 850mb moisture and flow may be more favorable for northwest flow snowfall in the mountains even beyond the day on Sunday. Beyond the weekend, the pattern looks to be more settled, but below normal temperatures could allow for any snowfall that does occur to linger.
  8. The Jinx is happening, TWC has now placed 1-3 inches for Athens Saturday
  9. I’ll take a developing intensifying low off the Florida panhandle for $1000 Alex.
  10. Oh yes, the wife is a huge Dawgs fan, you would have thought it was the second coming of Christ when she knew they were gonna be National Champs!
  11. I haven’t seen things this Active since my X-Wife slept with her co-workers! Keep ‘em coming!
  12. Here ya go I thought I had the year right, school was out for 17 days!
  13. Correct! @Carvers Gapcorrect me if I’m wrong but I remember an epic ice storm in that time frame as well!
  14. Boy do I remember 84/85, the coldest I’ve ever been and it’s not very hard to remember since we were poor as heck and only had a Outhouse! Trust me -20f and a outhouse you’ll never forget it!
  15. Agreed, I’m taking a Nap lol
  16. Swing that about 15 or 20 miles this way
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