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TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

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Everything posted by TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

  1. As stated, before I was rudely interrupted, cold rain here in Wilmington. The warm nose is coming everyone. Be ready for crushed dreams. I bear gifts from Wilmington for you all.
  2. NAM does look realistic. That said, I am still taking a big snow for the Triad, west, as my final prediction. Largest accumulation in Asheville and points to the NE. GFS V3 has the right idea.
  3. I grew up in Fayetteville. I have seen my share of good snow. I only point out what the models are doing. You know the truth. Sorry if that crushes your dreams.
  4. NAM is much warmer. At the surface and 850 mb. We shall see what other models are saying. However, bad run if you like snow. Great if you like cold cold rain
  5. I only speak the truth though. GFS FV3 is warmer at 850 mb. Overall, low is further south, high is weaker, and temps aloft are warmer. Who is ready for some cold rain? Western NC still has a good chance for snow and I am rooting for them.
  6. GFS FV3 is slightly warmer as well. 2 models are warmer. Was the NAM model warmer as well?
  7. Warmer, just a little bit. Fear the trend potential though.
  8. GFS is warmer this run. Let us see if it continues, like it typically does.
  9. Lol for the telling the truth? Wow this is funny. I mention how models have trended warmer, which is a logical observation, and now I am the bad guy here. Science be damned, right. Can things change, sure. Do they often change in a positive direction south of VA, NO.
  10. Some people use logic and their eyes. The models have warmed, and you have been warned.
  11. Cold air has trended weaker, storm more north, and people are starting to consider the NAM model outside of 48 hours. It is desperation time.
  12. At this rate, if trends keep going, everyone outside the mountains will be getting cold cold rain.
  13. This run is a lot more realistic. I have a feeling a lot of hopes and dreams are going to be crushed later tonight as well. Amped and warm seems to be the trend here. It makes sense historically.
  14. When the models have warmed, you have been warned.
  15. I just know it will be raining here in Wilmington regardless. Enjoy the snow everyone.
  16. What are the totals for SE NC on the control run?
  17. You could always live here in ILM area and miss out on almost every storm that passes through the Carolinas.
  18. Well, never doubt the warm nose, ever in SE NC. I hope everyone else gets dumped on good. Calling it a day after watching it rain for the last few hours. Trees are covered in ice here.
  19. Oh, but we are getting screwed too. You guys will struggle with QPF, but we will struggle with ICE. Nobody down here wants an ice storm, at least any sane person lol. That is why I am being negative. Since moving to the area from Fayetteville 4 years ago I have seen half an inch of snow. That is it. Though I have seen a lot of ice. Last winter was the first measurable snow I had seen and it was a dusting pretty much. Grrrrrrrrr lol.
  20. Warm nose is coming. It is going to catch most of us, just watch. Especially in SE NC and SC coastal areas.
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