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TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

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Everything posted by TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

  1. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    NAM is warmer it appears so far through 18 and also less QPF. This could be a precursor to a big bust for most of NC. Ouch. Someone will get some snow though.
  2. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GEFS ensemble members took a large tick up at 18z wowzers. https://ibb.co/4JHKbNG
  3. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Garner, NC 46 and clearing skies
  4. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Seems legit. All the METs will now need to redo their forecast maps. What a dang shame that is. Torch for everyone now.
  5. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    So, what are your IMBY predictions? I am going with 3 inches here in Garner, NC.
  6. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    ECMWF still appears quite warm for most of NC and SC
  7. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    I will be that sacrificial lamb. Tell everyone I tried to hang on but the GFS pushed me off the cliff. Byeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
  8. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GEFS ensembles have backed off the last few runs as well. It looks like it will be a now casting storm.
  9. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GFS quick and out barely any snow as far as I can tell. Anyone have the CMC?
  10. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Rain line or sleet line creeps north every model run. Moving on up..........moving on up.........
  11. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Sleet line creeps higher on each NAM run and it did this time as well.
  12. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    It also cut the total snowfall a little for many places in central/eastern nc
  13. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    I didn't know that. Thanks for sharing. It seems like the setup is slightly different on the models to a certain extent but temps are an issue regardless. It is the south, so that makes sense.
  14. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Guessing temps are an issue? Almost all of the models are now showing temp issues. It is great to have more QPF, but without enough cold it is just cold rain. Any chance all the models bust on temps?
  15. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Well, it goes ECMWF.........UKMET.........CMC.........AND ICON. In that order, but we can all hug the NAM until it eventually figures out it is dreadfully wrong.
  16. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    CMC will continue the cliff diving tonight. I will jump off the cliff first. Bye everyone.
  17. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    They say I remind people of everyone that has ever said no to dreams of snow
  18. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Lol haha I think snow chances are dwindling and this thread is about to turn into an online insane asylum.
  19. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    I can try one for everyone and then you can see how accurate it looks?
  20. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Just a programming peasant trying to make it in this cruel world. I do have ms paint but not good with it. Have no idea who the guy is you all are referring to. Hate crushing dreams with logical thought processes but hey life is tough. I am at heart a weather weenie like everyone on here.
  21. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Bailing due to ICON, UKMET, and ECMWF.
  22. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    ICON is all rain, and so it begins. Don't say that the ECMWF and UKMET didn't warn ya. Could be a lot of broken hearts throughout the Carolinas Thurs-Fri. Who knows though.
  23. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    It was warmer though. It appears to be trending towards the ECMWF, which is almost entirely rain. Same with the UKMET. This is not unfounded.
  24. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    So, it is not warmer than the last run?
  25. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Warmer run from the NAM is incoming. It has slowly been trending warmer each run. Maybe trending toward all rain?
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