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Tar Heel Snow

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Everything posted by Tar Heel Snow

  1. several other tweets on his profile show that JMA has been really really accurate out to 2 weeks for the past month or so. A sign of hope perhaps.
  2. For sure! You never know. Just discouraging, but we can stay hopeful!
  3. This is just...sad. I figured I’d at least get a flake this year. Crazy things can happen but, oof.
  4. Perfect, we need to cool those ground temps before we get anything!
  5. GFS stays with the interesting pattern for sometime between the 16th and the 20th. Good to see that at least hanging on this run.
  6. Call it unrealistic, but the late hours of the GFS throws VA/North-Central NC a bone. First time we’ve seen anything, even in the long range, in a couple of weeks. Fits the relative pattern the CFS has shown over the past few runs of the pattern changing at the tail end of January. Something to (hopefully) watch! Edit: The GEFS average at the same time has most of NC and a good chunk of eastern SC with at least a bit of snow accumulation.
  7. Well we haven't had a chance to see a clown map in awhile, so here you go from today's morning CFS one month out. This is exactly what this model should be used for and everyone should take it verbatim!
  8. 18z GFS seems to have completely lost the weak wave for next Tuesday. Go figure.
  9. I’d love to see the EPS members in the coming days. Tail end of today’s 12z Euro looked intriguing.
  10. I'm not even disappointed in the fairly long possibility of snow falling apart; more so that the signs were pointing to having at least some signals to track in the next couple of weeks. I suppose we'll have to wait a little while before we get any hot threads! EDIT: The past two winter finals seasons I've been able to procrastinate studying by checking the forums; I was counting on that again!
  11. North south gradient so tight I’m glad I live on north campus lol
  12. Let's hope we have a similar story. Thanks for the insight!
  13. Seems about the same for south Orange County.
  14. This. The run is not good. And is s serious red flag. But I want to wait for another few runs before I start calling off hope for my area and in general.
  15. 12z Fv3 finished out...will the 18z run at all delayed or will it be skipped?
  16. The western triangle (I.e. Durham and chapel hill) are still really looking like the dividing line. Gonna be close as of now. Still a long way to go.
  17. My word this western triangle cutoff is brutal right now. Glad I'm not home in Raleigh for winter break yet...
  18. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Guess we'll just have to keep watching.
  19. I'm just glad we're not in NAM range yet. I need to have a somewhat productive week.
  20. This always happens. Starts off as not much, then gradually builds enough to get our hopes up reasonably for something bigger, until 24-48 hours out, something pops and makes it all come crashing down for some reason.
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