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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Hour 96 on the 12z king has the low more north and a good precip shield, hour 102 is south of that and much less northern precip shield...I’m finding it difficult to believe that the models struggle with that Canadian high as much as they do, especially when it’s positioned in Quebec over 1000 miles away from that LP position. If anything yesterday taught us that.
  2. Yeah Dave can get in a rant with the best of them...Jack Nicholson, Chevy chase, Dave from Rochester...
  3. 12z Jester has the system for next week in a similar position to the 6z but the HP to the north seems to be eroding the northern extension of the precip shield. This looks wonky to me especially with how yesterday’s event played out. This looks like a Miller B to me and I think that first initial low will act as a conveyor to the secondary low over the east coast and transport moisture back our way.
  4. Reminds me of our December system...front slowed and the wave developed back side.
  5. A little streamer off Georgian bay has developed over the western Niagara Frontier...basically flurries ATM but cool none the less.
  6. Well boys the lake is at 33 as of today and my uneducated guess says with this weekends frigid temps 32 will be obtained easily and icing will begin rapidly. Will it be enough to mute a great pattern? Not sure but that can’t be discounted
  7. It’s probably too late for lake effect though...grrrr
  8. How’d that work out for yesterday’s storm? Last week that event was also over Pennsylvania...give it time we’re right where we need to be...
  9. Impressively light snow falling again in Williamsville with actual dendrites, even though the NWS just mentioned that wouldn’t be possible due to the snow growth region being to high...huh...
  10. Yeah it’s definitely filling in around western NY...nothing here yet but you can see the returns
  11. 12z Euro has next weeks storm well and o the south...not buying, but I will buy a rainstorm at this point...
  12. It’s quite unbelievable how many times this has happened. Usually the HP wins out but this year has brought us a new dynamic
  13. Did you move to Tennessee??? Which upstate school district needs to go on the shamed list?!
  14. Stopped snowing/sleet about 30 minutes ago but is beginning to pick back up again.
  15. Still snowing in Williamsville intensity a bit less just shy of the 2” mark (1.9” to be exact) might still hit the low end of the 3-5” by the end of the event
  16. Of course it is...just as it had been snowing moderately the past 45 minutes, Dave and Matt’s voodoo dolls have done their work, again...
  17. Giant parachute flakes here and accumulating rapidly...
  18. KBUF has punted! The new winter weather advisory is for 1-2” of snow and up to a .10” of freezing rain...how the !$&@ could you NOT see this 6 hours ago???
  19. I’m right in the transition line I believe because I have times of snow and times of a mix...will mute the accumulation here for certain
  20. I’m 4 miles north and it’s sleet/snow/unknown precip crap...I’d say big bust is in process
  21. Amazing...radar still showing all snow currently. How is that possible if there is a deeper warm layer above?
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