Thinksnow18

Like to bump that LP 50 to 100 miles north.

It seems a bit delayed, kind of like our winter to this point...

It just dropped below freezing at KBUF about an hour ago. It appears the depth of the cold air the intensity is just not there. This was considered an Arctic front yet I’m not seeing the Arctic temps yet. It’s still 31 in Toronto so the air up north isn’t very cold either. Kinda weird

Would be that 3-5” closer to the PA line and 2-4” south of Lake Ontario

12z King Further north. Has the whole CWA in snow but does appear lighter. Baby steps I suppose

I feel like with a LP in central PA we should be getting a good dump out of that...yet it looks unimpressive.

Also looks weaker and with more compact precipitation shield

The meteorological yo-yo

It appears the “king” is caving to the “jester” on the path of next weeks storm. If you are north of the thruway and have no snow OTG at this time more than like you will stay that way for the next week.

Arctic front dropping south has some juice with it.

Speaking of the Goofus, has anyone else noticed the Syracuse has been “forecasted” by the GFS to have about 300” of snow this year?! Every map show 12 to 18 inches no matter the circumstances...must be one of those glitches I suppose...

Next weeks storm is trending to be a miss...not that it matters as the rest of the GFS 6z was perfect for planting grass seed...

Well welcome then and I guess you’re the first!

What’s this “snow” you speak of?

At this point I’m pulling for rain...maybe in some weird twist it’ll snow instead

We’re being trolled...look at the squall line that formed heading towards Binghamton...

Meaning possibly a rain event now? Lmao actually why am I asking that could be the only outcome...

Yeah I saw it. I didn’t think anything could be worse than the last 3 weeks but the next 2 look just as boring. If we don’t get any snowfall we probably won’t see much if any at the lower elevations into February. At least the ground will freeze.

Early but Goofus looks to be coming in further north

.31 is about 5” roughly at 15 to 1. It will be plenty cold enough

It’s odd though as most of that are the night time lows. Daytime averages probably haven’t been too far off the Mark but I would wage the nights are most of that 7.5 positive

A little run to run movement is bound to happen as the ensembles show different LP placements in the clustering. The GFS went way south in one run and is slowly correcting itself back north. I actually just caught one of the Mets on TWC and he was actually discussing this very storm for next week and showed both models...he stated the Euro is giving them more confidence at this time over the GFS because of the run to run consistency. As long as the ensembles don’t drastically change we should be looking at some kind of an event.

I was wondering if that would catch on...

This has the makings of the 90 and north system. IF fruition these can be a sneaky foot of snow south of Lake Ontario

It appears it’s in its own and we’re now approaching 4 days out...starting to get close enough to think the Canook, Euro and the Royal (Ukmet) are all on to the track. GFS will get there. One thing you can always count on is the GFS to sniff out the storm, then pivot several times only to come back to what it once showed.