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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Agreed. Radar has plenty of moderate returns over basically the whole Niagara frontier, I can see 1-2” from this and that probably 1-2” more than I thought we’d get, now all bets are off as anything looks to be on the table.
  2. Thinksnow18
    It’s almost at the precipice of moderate in Williamsville and about .5” accumulated. The models are just not very good ATM
  3. Thinksnow18
    So it’s snowing here in far WNY and is actually about to pick up in pace as some darker blues are moving in from the SE...the local Mets are downplaying it and the models don’t show it...yeah that’s par for the course...
  4. Thinksnow18
    It’s odd I feel like the euro and GFS have swapped this afternoon. Latest GFS has that pinwheel of snow back to Buffalo where the Euro has it only to Syracuse...
  5. Thinksnow18
    Well KBUF went up an inch to 2” and NF went to 1” from <1 so small progress
  6. Thinksnow18
    This is their thinking, they mentioned that during the update.
  7. Thinksnow18
    About 18 if memory serves me
  8. Thinksnow18
    KBUF has changed their wording for WNY for Tuesday night into Wednesday as a possibility for heavy lake enhancement/lake effect streamers south of Lake Ontario...too early to discuss winter storm watches for that timeframe but latest model guidance suggests several short waves pinwheeling back over the lakes giving ample opportunities for lake enhancement.
  9. Thinksnow18
    Yeah I know I was throwing shade
  10. Thinksnow18
    I’ll let it slide this time, what’s next a poster that loves the wind?!?!
  11. Thinksnow18
    That’s what I Like to see!!!
  12. Thinksnow18
    Do you have the high end map? At minimum I think that 3” mark moves to KBUF and 6”+ is Batavia east
  13. Thinksnow18
    Wrong forum...that’s the southeast sun lovers forum for vitamin D deficiency
  14. Thinksnow18
    Bro...you missed the bro, I’ve got you back though...
  15. Thinksnow18
    Hold my beer wants some action
  16. Thinksnow18
    Wow that has warning criteria snows to KBUF
  17. Thinksnow18
    No it’s definitely trending colder and right after possibly our biggest cold dump of the year with cold SW winds...you’re welcome BW...
  18. Thinksnow18
    It honestly sucks when all of Ohio does better than us
  19. Thinksnow18
    That’s a massive difference
  20. Thinksnow18
    That actually makes sense. It was trying to begin where the globals did 4 or 5 days ago and is correcting itself...I believe it will be the one slowest to catch on to any shifts or changes in the track...globals are on to it though let’s hope it’s enough
  21. Thinksnow18
    .3 to .5 liquid equivalent in 26 degree weather is not 10 to 1 ratios that would put KBUF at 5 or 6 inches in this scenario
  22. Thinksnow18
    The NW shift is on..,
  23. Thinksnow18
    I’m actually surprised it’s not, and I think that’s why the original models had more over WNY, I don’t think that idea is dead...yet
  24. Thinksnow18
    In Dave we trust
  25. Thinksnow18
    Every model shifted north especially the Euro. Afternoon runs will be paramount
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