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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Actually they explain there will not be a torch...in fact it's showing slightly AN temps just before and after Xmas before we get the PV to show up.
  2. Thinksnow18
    12z coming in with the LP placement just south of PA so even further NW than 6z...but the precip shield on the northern flank still barely reaches lake Ontario shoreline, even though at the state line of NY and PA is mixing.
  3. Thinksnow18
    I think Wednesday is shaping up to have multiple streamers of pure fluff in many areas. Think 25 to 1 ratio type snows...
  4. Thinksnow18
    Dave in Rochester had mentioned this and it might just come to fruition.
  5. Thinksnow18
    I can already say that is further north than most are forecasting...might only be an inch or two more than forecast but when you're nickel and dimeing to an ok snowpack every bit helps
  6. Thinksnow18
    So I've been looking at the snow totals area wide...when is the last time all the stations have had more synoptic snowfall vs. mesoscale YTD? Or more impressively, when is the last time we haven't had any LES events to speak of? This is a weird start for sure.
  7. Thinksnow18
    Looks like a general 1 to 2 on the Niagara frontier for this southern slider...more as you head south east and east of Buffalo...the lake effect looks good for W/NW flow for advisory to low end warning uplslope flow areas. The rest of us just wait to end of December early Jan...
  8. Thinksnow18
    00z GFS stayed same track as 18z. If the trend continues with the 6z we might have a better chance at the better lift across WNY and CNY.
  9. Thinksnow18
    Yes it looks like everyone will get a few inches to advisory levels of accumulating lake effect.
  10. Thinksnow18
    Its one run but the 18z GFS is NW of the other tracks and brings the low through WV and southern PA. This COULD be the beginning of the inevitable NW shift...hopefully
  11. Thinksnow18
    Yeah it's not looking good for anyone from WNY to central NY for Monday night Tuesday. Your area will have a good chance at W/NW lake effect Wed and Thursday. The Niagara Frontier? Could be weeks before anything substantial.
  12. Thinksnow18
    One inch of absolute muck...
  13. Thinksnow18
    Everything but main roads have caved in buffalo...im in the parking lot of Nichols high school waiting for my son to get done with soccer practice indoors. In the hour I've been here the grass us white but it's very slushy...parking lot slushy with areas of white...having a tough time accumulating well.
  14. Thinksnow18
    Moderate snow and sticking. Returns look impressive for the next few hours at least. Should snow until about 9pm or so...at this rate the 3 to 5 predicted looks plausible on the Niagara frontier
  15. Thinksnow18
    Does anyone see the ensembles? Im wondering if we're going to get the last minute 50 mile NW jog.
  16. Thinksnow18
    Snowing and sticking in buffalo by the zoo.
  17. Thinksnow18
    Snow and rain mix in Williamsville 35 degrees.
  18. Thinksnow18
    Sniw already over southern Ontario just west of buffalo...lots of moisture to go in thinking switch around 1 at lower levels at the heart of the precip rates
  19. Thinksnow18
    NWS still holding strong for 3 to 5 WNY lower elevations and 5 to 10 at hiher elevations...i also like the write up of moderate (thinking 4 to 7) for monday-Monday night.
  20. Thinksnow18
    I think areas of WNY will be upgraded to a WSW tomorrow...thinking the Chautauqua ridge, southern Erie County and Wyoming county...i think Buffalo out to Batavia and North to Rochester are looking at high end advisory when all is said and done.
  21. Thinksnow18
    I'd say 3/4 of those are good hits for WNY.
  22. Thinksnow18
    Right now I would take that and run.
  23. Thinksnow18
    It is gorgeous. I don't mind these days from time to time in the winter...just not more often than the cold snowy ones!!!
  24. Thinksnow18
    What a ****ing joke that response was. It's that type of comment that shows how uneven the playing field is.
  25. Thinksnow18
    Congrats! Great week indeed.
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