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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    6z is just as far west but also has the freezing rain signature still...however the rest of the run after mid next week looks cold and more chances for snow...i believe the euro shows the same?
  2. Thinksnow18
    Lol now where's that ark...
  3. Thinksnow18
    Im telling you I read somewhere about the GEFS still using the old algorithms...it can't be that the short term euro is right but the EPS is wrong?
  4. Thinksnow18
    The 12z suite of models (euro and GFS) could not be further apart. One thing I question about the euro is how it is pushing the High in Canada northward as a much weaker storm comes into the area...that seems peculiar
  5. Thinksnow18
    A few years back I remember a winter where something would pop a week out that looked great, only to lose it or it trended away from us during the mid range then as the event came closer it trended back towards the look we originally saw...maybe this will be the same...
  6. Thinksnow18
    Brings ice/mix by 00z Sunday and heavy wet snow by 6z over WNY...what is surprising is the High is just about over Lake Superior during that whole time and is 1034 to 1038...that would be cold enough and close enough to change everything over
  7. Thinksnow18
    The 12z looks to make things interesting around hour 84...
  8. Thinksnow18
    You have been given only 3 choices in your quest to find a new home, anywhere in the mid-Atlantic, the New England area or the UP of Michigan (yrs I'm aware they get alot of snow now, however once Matt arrives the storm track will inevitably shift in our favor with West to southwest winds funneling cold air all winter long...
  9. Thinksnow18
    You know ever since Matt showed up 2 years ago..
  10. Thinksnow18
    Here's the rub...eps has been showing that while the GEFS we torch...but I read the GEFS is still running primarily off the old GFS suite...can this be verified?
  11. Thinksnow18
    Maybe if our political leaders weren't acting like a bunch of petulant children, trying to one up the other, we could get some true governing of important issues.
  12. Thinksnow18
    Didn't you hear??? We're officially all being punked...what we see as opportunities for winter weather are nothing more than a creative illusion designed to hypnotize us to believe these events will happen...
  13. Thinksnow18
    This is what it looks like...this is what I feels like...pictures are all I have to hang on to...
  14. Thinksnow18
    I'm confused...the eps and gefs are showing changes in 10 days and the 18z GFS shows several chances for snow...as Aaron rogers says R E L A X
  15. Thinksnow18
    I'm not buying this run...it has the low north of lake Ontario and a 997 low shoves out a 1035 MB high...no...
  16. Thinksnow18
    Changes are coming...even the last run of the 12z shows it...patience...last year to this point wasn't remarkably better at the same timeframe
  17. Thinksnow18
    5 for buffalo 7 for Syracuse at 10 to 1.
  18. Thinksnow18
    Shoot if that verified it would be several hours of heavy snow
  19. Thinksnow18
    Just gonna post that...in fact a good thump of snow for the second half of the storm...on this run of course...
  20. Thinksnow18
    At hour 78 of the GFS the showdown is on between the HP over ND and the Low over southern Texas...
  21. Thinksnow18
    Hey if we're going to get an event and it's going to rain might as well make it worth while...
  22. Thinksnow18
    If that run is correct the second low would act more as an inverted trough back through the state...and in that scenario the HP is much closer that recent guidance.
  23. Thinksnow18
    You mentioned it earlier and I've been beating the drum for a watch for the last 2 week's or early February time frame...weve had PLENTY of good setups in the February time frame in the past but had a frozen lake...this year will not have that problem...
  24. Thinksnow18
    When was that from? The EPS after the 15th or so show the western ridge shifting into the west and a cold dump in the east...must be transient...
  25. Thinksnow18
    We need that Bermuda high to shift 100 miles south and we'd be in the game...without it I pull out the jet skis Saturday...
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