I wouldn't bet on it. Besides the CFS being garbage, long range modeling has been way too cold this season, and has also had a tendency to overdo the extent of high-latitude blocking. If anything, I wouldn't be surprised if the overall warm pattern continues to strengthen as the month progresses (especially if we get a high amplitude MJO wave to traverse through phase 6). Our source region is rather iffy, and with a lack of meaningful snow cover throughout the CONUS combined with warm soil temps, things could get really out of hand.