PositiveEPOEnjoyer
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Everything posted by PositiveEPOEnjoyer
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wow, 99 at ORD now. 100 may actually happen after all.
- 231 replies
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- absolute trainwreck?
- abandon all hope?
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the late Sept 2017 heat wave was just about as impressive IMO, at least in Chicago.
- 231 replies
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Going to fall short of 100 at ORD due to more cloud cover than initially anticipated, probably.
- 231 replies
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2024-2025 La Nina
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to George001's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I suspect March-April 2018 would have been quite mild actually if it weren't for that ridiculous, late-season major SSW. -
100-101 in the metro is quite possible IMO, but that's probably about the upper limit with this airmass.
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We have an almost off the charts 500 mb ridge anchored pretty much directly overhead (with similarly impressive thermals), and are living in a completely different era of climate now. I can certainly see it happening granted we avoid any weird outflow boundaries (and that's a BIG if).
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HRRR had a 101 for ORD tomorrow, which actually seems reasonable if outflow isn't an issue.
- 231 replies
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Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Would be impressive if it were to verify, and also downright nasty. To each their own, but the coming days are looking to be rather miserable from a comfort standpoint for normal people anyhow. -
Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Considering how refreshingly cool it’s been as of late, the return to 90+ temps will certainly feel more miserable than usual. -
2024-2025 La Nina
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to George001's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Starting to see signs of "pattern two" making a comeback in late August, for a time at least. Regardless, it's hard for me to imagine the Midwest having a cool fall this year, but we'll see. -
Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Idk about this. Starting to see some much hotter trends in the med-long range now, and there's actually support for it this time. Obviously much can change between now and then, but it's becoming clearer that we aren't entirely done with the heat, even if it ends up being subdued. -
2024-2025 La Nina
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to George001's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
yeah, warmer than average seems like a good bet for this fall, with the core of the heat likely being centered somewhere over the Midwest (based on analogs and ENSO trends anyhow). Seems like Dec could be cold though, for a time at least. -
Incredibly blessed tbh, after what was probably the most pleasant late winter and spring on record.
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Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Quite comical considering the EPS had an atrocious cold bias during winter and spring -
Been too hot for my liking recently. Glad we cool down for a while come next week.
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2024-2025 La Nina
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to George001's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That would be a pretty ugly spring for many us. Really hope nothing like that happens -
Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
the Plains still shouldn't be that cold in a largely dominant +EPO regime though, so weird. -
Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
very surprised by how the pattern has played out this month. I'm not complaining though, it's been nice. -
July 2024 General Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
not even close to that being the case this year. And even in the last decade, the big heat has had a tendency to center itself west of the Rockies. -
July 2024 General Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
dude is an absolute clown. thought I saw someone on here mention once that he had been previously banned on another account. -
Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I think the lackadaisical ENSO transition is most certainly playing a role in why we haven't seen much in the way of formative heat thus far. Even then, it's still odd that the Plains have been so cold as general teleconnections shouldn't really support such a pattern taking hold. -
Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
PositiveEPOEnjoyer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
still not convinced we don't see at least one significant heat wave before summer comes to an end, though I do admit it's a bit surprising how cool the mid-section of the country has been this month in spite of both coasts roasting. Almost seems as though pre-2013 summer analogs have become useless at this point. CC is most certainly playing a huge role in this seemingly "new" dominant summer pattern we've been stuck in for over a decade now.
