CheeselandSkies

Yeah, being the epicenter of a super outbreak will do that.

Been shut out of even attempting to chase all the recent IL action by the setups occurring when I'm on a family vacation (6/11), on Father's Day (yesterday), or simply too far south for a workday/night chase (the one in between). However, this is what I was doing 10 years ago OTD:

...and nearly all of them have been south of I-80/definitely 88. The exception on 4/17 I didn't chase...assumed everything would be HP and it was...except when Harrison-Rockton briefly popped out of the rain and was gorgeous. My only tornado this year is in Minnesota of all places, on April 13. Sandwiched between driving back from my tour which ended in OKC on the evening of 4/12 and nearly wrecking my car chasing 20 miles from home on 4/14.

All that, and I slept right through the storm.

That would be me.

Sign of very strong LL shear. I've seen it when arriving to the target area on nearly every chase day I've had when I've either seen tornadoes, or there were tornadoes in the vicinity but I missed them due to being dumb. Shame it will likely go to waste for anyone north of I-72 today.

Chase plans cancelled due to clear southward shifts in supercell tornado risk coupled with a brutal week at work. Tornadoes miss southern Wisconsin/IL north of 88 to the north in April and to the south in June? Go figure.

I got a DM from someone purporting to be Chris Broyles over on Talkweather; addressing the opinions I've expressed about him in the posts I've made on there (I was a LITTLE more tactful than that!). Not sure if I believe it. That's all I'll say about that.

Another potentially epic Midwest outbreak hosed by a morning wind bag. Tale as old as time.

Long as we don't repeat the endless smoky skies and hazardous air quality of June, 2023.

21Z RAP box soundings are nuts. 730 m2/s2 inflow layer SRH.

18Z NAM and RRFS-A (I know, I know, but they're the only mesoscale models that go out that far) edged a little bit north with the warm sector for Wednesday evening.

I couldn't chase last Thursday due to being in Cleveland on a family trip (probably would have ended up on the still-tornadic relative junk in western IL anyway), but it'd be nice to have the target not be south of I-80 for once since I rarely can take PTO on short notice from my job.

Annoyed I will be missing the severe threats in MBY due to a planned trip to Cleveland to visit family tomorrow through Friday.

Models give some hope for a return to activity on or about June 14-15, at least for northwestern portions of the sub. Will have been a very long four weeks by that time.