PowderBeard

Did not expect to be woken up by branches hitting the roof. We windy and 37*. Radar filling in with a nice band just about to enter the Lenox/Lee area.

30-50 miles NW than modeled is how it always plays out lol

I can see BOX going with 2-4" (basically their 1:10 map from this morning) in their later update.

Cranking above 3000' on the spine at K and SB. Snowing at the summit of Stratton has started as well. https://www.killington.com/the-mountain/webcams/mountain/north-ridge-cam

My met ignorance here, but given the fluctuations in modeling, modeling vs. reality (i.e., Zeta's modeled vs actual pressure), combined with this wild jet for October, I'm flashing back to Philosophy 240 (an entire seminar on Hume) and wondering how much stock can be put into anything at this point. I guess my question is what upper or lower dynamics should be focused on?

Bet the Euro looks similar to yesterday's 0z run.

Yea, looks longer duration. Didn't it nail a few early (Nov/Dec) storms a few years back? Not looking for a model to ride, just remember maybe 2-3 years ago early it was all the rage on this board until it fell flat mid winter. I remember it was my first introduction to that model.

Reggie going wild? Looking colder.

Don't lie. You're drinking kombucha.

Models were not really picking up on the sleet yesterday. That cold just crashing down for the change over. More realistic last night/today.

That is a no power in most of our town type deal. Looking around the trees in our neighborhood are >50% full.

Still a decent chance of accumulating snow throughout SNE. No complaints for October.

Thanks for the lesson, I see what you mean.

Take it for what it's worth (la la land), but the NAM puts the system into the Ohio River Valley vs. running further SE. Wouldn't be surprised if 0z took the low right over SNE. edit: Doesn't look nearly as cold compared to the Ukie or GFS.

Hopefully overdone. That and a couple inches of snow on heavy trees = cold house combination.

SUN ANGLE!

Yea, not a good trend there. This is data from people working from home. Cooler weather here will mean less bathing, we are in for a long winter.

I'm assuming this is a school other than URI? I went there and am friends on FB with a few profs and their numbers are much higher. The first few weeks of October the off campus student positivity rate was close to 4% and Greek housing students were testing positive at over 11% (which required a 14 day shelter in place for all students in "Greek" housing). That said, their on campus student positivity rate was fluctuating between 0.40-0.70% which is great.

The seal is a really easy process that gets a bad rap around here. Once out there I really understood it. Don't want to see the place get trashed with invasive species like so many other lakes in CT/MA/RI. There is little/no vegetation in the place, fish and wildlife are fat and healthy, just prime. Bring it to a car wash up in Athol (they have 2 wash days per month) and they have a decon process. Then it is wired to your trailer any time you are not in the Quabbin. If you want to put it in another lake you have to cut the wire, go where ever, then have it decontaminated all again. It's like a $40 season pass in my book. As close to being in the wilderness in Mass as you can come, bears and cubs walking the shore, deer and moose swimming across it, loons everywhere, bald eagles dive bombing the water for trout. Feels like a lake in the middle of Maine most times and you might see 2-3 other boats all day during the week.

Feels like downeast Maine here today. 60 with showers/mist and a good breeze.

I ran the Quabbin "Day Care Center" all summer. She really loved the loon calls. We were probably out there 3-4 days per week. If we went more than a couple days without going out she would sit at the back slider looking at the boat yelling "fiiisshhhh." Would wake up around 4/4:30, get all my work done, head out around 10am, pack a ton of food and she would nap in a tent on the boat. Great summer out there.