WesternFringe

YOU are calling psu mentally challenged? Jfc, why did I ever unmute you? My fault, everyone.

Data from satellites and NOAA doesn't support it at all. Most of the NWS snowfall reports come from NWS Employees, trained spotters, Park/ Forest Srvc, etc. Notice the one outlier on the map? It isn't an official NWS number. It is the number reported by the resort that has an incentive to over inflate its numbers. We are not hopeless because we use our brains and logic. Do you really think it is realistic that the only measurement of 15" of snow in Virginia came from a 3000' mountain in Nelson County? Not the 4500' mountains of northern and western Augusta County? Not the northern Shenandoah Valley? Do you think it is plausible that Wintergreen was the only measurement (outside of WV) of 15" of snow that is southwest of greater Philadelphia? Finally, I will just say this. My coworker Monica and her husband Chris live up there in a condominium and they told me they got 6", maybe 7" at the most. https://data.usatoday.com/projects/snowfall-accumulation-tracker/index.html https://www.weather.gov/lwx/pnsmap?type=snow @hstorm

Lol @hstorm

And you did call him ‘smartboy,’ which is what @hstormwas referring to

I am not arguing with you reporting the number. However, that isn’t some joker wandering around. It was a trained NWS spotter. Now, the guy who works at the ski resorts? Not so much. I am disputing the number because it is ridiculous. I didn’t know it came from the resort itself, or I would have known it was inflated. Thanks, @hstorm for comparing time stamps. I grew up in upstate New York and New England. It’s a well known fact that ski resorts inflate snowfall reports, since they have an economic interest in doing so. Again, not arguing with you, just disputing that number, which will definitely not be a part of the NWS record as a report from an NWS trained spotter.

And the central Shenandoah like Bath and Highland and Augusta counties Eta: Is that due to the 500 ull pass just to the south?

This is true- remember last Tuesday night when most had declared there would be no snow, winter was over, and that the GFS was high? ravensrule and I and like 8 other weenies were the only ones left on the thread! Lol

Yeah, I am calling BS on the Wintergreen self report. Up in the northern part of our county (Augusta) had 6” and 5.5” observations by trained spotters up around 4300 ft. I was hiking up near there yesterday and saw it. The other report near Wintergreen around 5” makes a whole lot more sense. Maybe more at the peak at the resort, but 10” more? Not buying that for a minute.

Where did you see that?

Moderate snow with parachutes and 33 degrees. NW of Staunton in Augusta County.

Because people like good trends regardless of the model?

You just posted 2 sets of maps from different models of 4 consecutive runs showing......trends.

No, no one does. That is why we are all here tracking the models run to run. If you know how this works out, you should tell us and save us all the time we are investing into tracking.

So perhaps people calling the time of death on this threat last night was premature?

I like how everyone now knows for sure what is going to happen on Sunday. Eta- And through the end of the month now, too?

He has repeatedly said 84-96 hours out, so it matters when the threat is over a given weekend. ETA- So yeah, we usually start getting a good picture by Wednesday.

Euro had a pretty expansive precip shield for not being able to ‘find the storm.’

Anyone have the kuchie for the Ukie?

The 6z Euro just gave me 2".

A winner for whom? You and I get zero snow in Augusta County.

But he said the CAD was underdone, which would lend credence to the ptype it was showing. Also, the physics based models have all started to say the same thing, lending even more credence to the AI solution.

You said it was fools gold but then said the NWS was wrong and the CAD was underdone. But if the CAD was underdone then it gives more credence to the Euro AI solution vs the rainier physics based model solutions. Your two posts together make no sense. Lastly, the Euro AI has the highest verification scores on the planet right now. So your comment about it not being ready for primetime makes no sense to me either.

Huh?

Couldn’t be worse than this mausoleum lol

Had 3 here