Greg

More like the Marshfield Hills area in that to be exact if one looks very closely.

Probably not, but a small chance of this could actually happen if the track and the dispersement of the banding held like this. However, this is the 18Z model suite. The 0Z will be very important to see how tight these goal posts really are.

Actually, it's not bad but take the lower range of that. That's all. It's not wrong, it's just a range.

I'll try to explain. If one gets .4-.7 with about 1:10 ratios only and with a 9–10-hour window then it's about 4-7" of snow. If one has everything going for them, such as ratios 13:1 with the best omega banding, elevation, then the roof would be about a 10-12". Generally, that's what we have here. It's not going to be a widespread situation.

The center is staying offshore. It's not going over the cape at all. The real question now is where does the heaviest banding show-up and what will be the ratios when and if it does. As stated, that will determine the final heaviest possible accumulations of this storm.

Was it a burp, hiccup, or fart?

I think you'll be ok with this one coming.

I knew last night that the CMC and RGEM were a little too warm in with the thermals and track. The cold air was going to win out in this. Everything else is offshore with the track of the low which makes the most sense at this time. However, this will and still will be a quick moving storm. This puts a cap on some of the highest totals I keep reading about. The reality seems to be the heart of our viewing area will probably be something like a 5-9" to 6-10" inch like event. It's always possible to have a couple or so places pick up on the estimate a foot, but this would be very localized and not widespread. At this time banding and snowfall rates will be the determining factor in final accumulations.

GFS looking nice and snowy. Heaviest east.

Exactly. It will slowly continue to do so. It's up against some pretty heavy hitter models.

Most of models including the Euro has this staying offshore. The only model that has it going over the Cape and island is the Canadien model and that is a very typical bias of it. Local mets are starting to push the heavier totals a little further eastward.

I'm very impressed with this. I have just shy of 4.0" (3.8"-3.9") on the deck right now. Hopefully I can crack that with these last departing bit of snow. But I do believe this is about it. Very nice surprise here.

At least it's finally looking like winter again. And it should here in our neck of the woods.

Same here!

I had about 2.5" of snow as of 12:05 PM and still coming down.

More like a 1979-80 Winter to be dead honest.

Close but not quite. Use the 10:1 ratio map and you'll see why.

Everything else east?

Here is the 10:1 ratio for those who want a bit of more realism.

Actually, knowing the GFS slightly cold bias you want this east right now. Too close for comfort this early.

That would actually be Lancaster or Clinton MA verbatim. By the way thank you for posting the 10:1 ratio snowfall map and not the Kuchera.