Geoboy645

I am definitely liking where I am sitting for this one. Some models have me getting close to a foot. That would be so nice up here. Man to have most of the state of Wisconsin have over 10" of snow OTG right before a massive cold outbreak would be awesome.

It's been a function of the storm track more than anything. Green Bay has just been too far north for most of the year for storms.

Yeah when it comes to snow depth there is a very large difference between Madison and Green Bay. At home I have over a foot of snow OTG. Here at college it's more like 4". Areas up to my north like Marinette have even less. This next storm could really add to our pack here though at least according to some models. I could be at 8-9" before the cold wave and home could have at least 16".

On the other hand, in February it is a bit easier to break records because it doens't usually have these mega cold outbreaks

One thing about this system, if it does cut like it's modeled we could be in for a really bad time for flooding. 40's/50's with rain on top of a snowpack of potentially 12-18" over a large area sounds like a good way to get major flooding. Add in the frozen ground and ice on the lakes and yeah it's not looking good. To make matters worse, after this storm we could get really really cold. Like 2019 cold wave cold. I could easily see a situation where we have march 2019 style flooding with massive ice jams and then everything just refreezes. Hopefully this doesn't happen.

Well this storm overperformed here. I was originally forecasted to have 2-4" but I ended up with about 7" with quite a bit of drifting and blowing. A fluffier snow too which was nice fo shoveling. This 7" means that our snowmobile trails will be able to open which will be nice. I say I probably have 9-10" OTG now. This pack should last at least to the end of the week.

What about Bamwx. They seem like a reputable site.

That cutoff on the para would be so painful. You guys get 9 while I get like 3. That would suck if that actually happened.

Phasing? This event doesn't involve phasing.

Honestly if I were you guys in chicago I'd be quite happy rn. The models are quite obviously underdoing QPF and with most of them still having the band basically over the city I wouldn't be surprised if you guys eke out some surprising amounts as things stand right now.

Oh no wonder why it's still snowing. Such a weird phenomenon when this happens. I wonder how much of an effect if any the 80 degree Lake Columbia right next to it has on this.

I mean 13-14 was like that here too. Madison never reached a foot of snowpack the entire winter which is pretty surprising all things considered. Then again we didn't quite get the major storms that either Chicago or Detroit had. We "only" had 57" that winter.

That really has been the saving grace of this winter so far. The fact that outside of the 3-4 days around christmas (beacuse ofc it was) we have had at least an inch or two on the ground since then. Which has made this dull stretch a lot more bearable then it otherwise would be.

It is really starting to come down here. Radar says rain but evaporative cooling has caused it to be all snow. Pretty big flakes coming down.

I would be down with that. Good thing an 84hr RGEM run is never wrong at all right? /s

Ehh I don't know. Doesn't have random crapvection in Missouri and Kentucky to stop incoming moisture.

Happy New Year!!!!

It has been coming down liek crazy for about the past hour or so here. Eyeballing it off the sidewalks I would say 3-4" or so but that might be off. Easily 1/2" an hour rates right now. Little more wind and drifting then I though there would be.

Interestingly enough Madison needs only 5.2" to make this December above-average for snowfall. It would be the first one since 2016. Too bad we had all that melting last week or else we would actually have a decent snowpack right now.

Lol got to love a Bob Uecker reference in an AFD.

Ok can it stop going south now? Any more and I could be out if decent accumulations.

Last night we got a good 2" of snow from this little system. A pretty light powder of a snow, just enough to make everything look nice and white again after a very inconviently timed melt.

Cold front is here now. I just got very windy withing the last 10-15 minutes and the temperature is starting to drop pretty quickly.

So uhh the Euro went a little nuts out west around New Years Day. Good thing it's Kuchera at 222 hrs. So the chances of this happening are zilch to none. But just to even see this modeled at fantasyland is crazy.