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RVASnowLover

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Everything posted by RVASnowLover

  1. Hope I’m wrong but just have a bad feeling. We’ve seen this too many times before
  2. Both of those are a bit of step back from 12z. See if it continues at 00z
  3. EPS took a step back too. Hopefully not a trend but we’ll see
  4. Euro had sleet reaching close to Fredericksburg. The HP was weaker. Something to keep an eye on. Mixing seems likely though southside and into HR
  5. The euro AI was still good too. Why I say need to see if this is start of a trend or just a bad run
  6. Definitely concerning if you’re in ORF and southside.
  7. Will need see at 00z if this is a trend or a one off
  8. would take this even if we mix some at the end
  9. Still a great run but it phases more which brings more WAA
  10. Yep, some mix at the end but the damage is pretty much done by then
  11. No, I am not buying the GFS. Not after what it showed at 12z. Need to see consistency
  12. Yes towards the end but that’s after dumping possibly 2’ of snow…again verbatim
  13. Happy hour GFS will come through big time. Verbatim it snows for about 2 days.
  14. Going to be a long week of tracking. A lot can change between now and Saturday. I would be cautious too. We don't get snow events like this much anymore.
  15. GEFS still looks good. UK looked good too except for HR...lots of sleet verbatim
  16. Unfortunately, the GFS is a terrible model. It's still in its lost phase with this system. CMC is a lot better but it was way north yesterday. See what UK and Euro show
  17. Major suppression but at least wouldn't have to worry about mixing. Suppression is a concern given the strong hi pressure
  18. It is the ICON so there is that. However, we do not want to see it phase more and try to become a coastal. Will be a snow to sleet event for sure if that happens.
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