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RVASnowLover

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Everything posted by RVASnowLover

  1. RVASnowLover
    Euro had sleet reaching close to Fredericksburg. The HP was weaker. Something to keep an eye on. Mixing seems likely though southside and into HR
  2. RVASnowLover
    The euro AI was still good too. Why I say need to see if this is start of a trend or just a bad run
  3. RVASnowLover
    Definitely concerning if you’re in ORF and southside.
  4. RVASnowLover
    Will need see at 00z if this is a trend or a one off
  5. RVASnowLover
    would take this even if we mix some at the end
  6. RVASnowLover
    Still a great run but it phases more which brings more WAA
  7. RVASnowLover
    Yep, some mix at the end but the damage is pretty much done by then
  8. RVASnowLover
    GEFS looked good…obviously
  9. RVASnowLover
    No, I am not buying the GFS. Not after what it showed at 12z. Need to see consistency
  10. RVASnowLover
  11. RVASnowLover
    Yes towards the end but that’s after dumping possibly 2’ of snow…again verbatim
  12. RVASnowLover
    Happy hour GFS will come through big time. Verbatim it snows for about 2 days.
  13. RVASnowLover
    GFS continues to be all over the place
  14. RVASnowLover
    Going to be a long week of tracking. A lot can change between now and Saturday. I would be cautious too. We don't get snow events like this much anymore.
  15. RVASnowLover
    Euro holds and crushes everyone
  16. RVASnowLover
    GFS usually comes around closer to gametime
  17. RVASnowLover
    GEFS still looks good. UK looked good too except for HR...lots of sleet verbatim
  18. RVASnowLover
    Unfortunately, the GFS is a terrible model. It's still in its lost phase with this system. CMC is a lot better but it was way north yesterday. See what UK and Euro show
  19. RVASnowLover
    Major suppression but at least wouldn't have to worry about mixing. Suppression is a concern given the strong hi pressure
  20. RVASnowLover
    It is the ICON so there is that. However, we do not want to see it phase more and try to become a coastal. Will be a snow to sleet event for sure if that happens.
  21. RVASnowLover
    Impressive to say the least!
  22. RVASnowLover
    FWIW, WPC is not buying the EURO solution of it phasing and becoming a coastal. That solution "does not have much support form the other physical or AI guidance." Something to watch though.
  23. RVASnowLover
    Maybe one more weaker band forming out west of RIC
  24. RVASnowLover
    Looks like radar is trying to back fill more towards Goochland. Doesn’t look heavy as of now but looks like it’s developing
  25. RVASnowLover
    By far heaviest rates of the day in Scott’s Addition
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