We either miss to the south or miss north and west. ORF may not get all of the snow events but compared to RIC, they’ve done way better with the big ones
GFS basically holds at 6z. It’s either going to fail miserably and cave at some point or be right. IMO this is a SEVA/ENC special. Maybe we get a glancing blow in RIC
All solutions are still on the table. Models still not in agreement. Minor differences between them and with this delicate of a setup, minor differences matter
I don’t remember offhand but it’s a good model. Believe surprisingly CMC did best with the last storm. It was always the most northern model and ended up being accurate