I'm thinking 3-6" for RIC but could change based on 00z tonight. It's going to be weird getting sleet and freezing rain with temps in teens and low 20s. We're usually hovering around freezing when we get those precip types
Euro again taking baby steps in the right direction. Held on to the snow a little longer before the flip. The theme for 12z was a little colder. See if that continues.
GFS looked great but it doesn't have much support. It's the only model as of now that doesn't have the primary low getting into WV/OH....hence it stays colder longer before the flip.
I would say based on climo southern areas will get the most ice while we see a sleet fest. Question is how much of a front end thump do we get before the changeover. We’ll see. Won’t know until gamtime
It will be interesting to see if the models change any once more data from aircraft has been ingested into it mainly the handle of Baja and then northern stream