Still way to early to get excited about it. Things will continue to change. As of now though both the gfs and euro ensembles look good. And as always here with coastal storms you have to worry about warm air aloft and the dreaded dry slot. We’ll see.
Euro OP is pretty similar to the GFS. Low is too far inland. We start out as snow then go to a cold rain. Seems about right honestly. See what the ensembles say
Right now I’m focusing more on the ensembles. The OPS are all over the place. GFS is drunk. Now is over-amplified and gets rain inland. At this stage the ensembles are the way to go. GFS ensembles were good
00z euro is a big miss. Suppressed. Doesn’t even get snow into NC. As of now the GFS is by itself. Time for things to change but as of now this weekend isn’t looking like much, if anything
GFS, CMC and Euro ensembles look pretty good for this weekend. Not so much for the OPS except CMC. Probably best to go with the ensembles but we’ll see. Complicated setup as always around here
12z GFS is a no. Not handling that low in the Atlantic well. Canadian was good for a lot of people. GEFS was decent. This is for this weekend. See what the Euro says