RVASnowLover
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Everything posted by RVASnowLover
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GFS, CMC and Euro ensembles look pretty good for this weekend. Not so much for the OPS except CMC. Probably best to go with the ensembles but we’ll see. Complicated setup as always around here
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The Euro is a suppressed, weaker version of the Canadian but we get something out of it. Maybe it’s the appetizer?
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12z GFS is a no. Not handling that low in the Atlantic well. Canadian was good for a lot of people. GEFS was decent. This is for this weekend. See what the Euro says
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12Z EPS looked solid. Something to watch
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And I’m sure it will keep changing. Hopefully one of them is on to something
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Agree. I like the pattern setup we’re going to be in. Hopefully we take advantage
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12z GFS is a thing of beauty. It’s not going to be right but it’s pretty to look at haha
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Looking ahead, looks like well definitely have the cold around but have to wait and see about about a storm
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Nope, we never do well when precip has to make it over the mountains, rain or snow.
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This one was a miss all the way. Didn’t even get much rain. This weekend will be rain. Maybe the next one
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Agree. Maybe we get quick burst or snow on the backend but that’s about it. I’m looking more towards middle of January. Still strong signals of a potential storm
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Just looking at radar, looks like classic case of the mountains robbing any precip trying to come this way
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Just a FYI, the GFS also had Richmond getting 8-12” Monday’s storm and we didn’t even get close to that. Just throwing the caution warning out there for those hugging the GFS. Maybe it’s right for you guys though
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Agree. Next system does nothing for me. Mid January looks very interesting but again we’ll see
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Very possible. Well have to see if the precip can make it over the mountains. Usually drys up once it makes over the mountains. 18Z HRRR gives us about 2”. The 18z 3K NAM gives us very little because it’s warm and keeps most of the precip as rain. We’ll see.
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1-2” seems likely for Friday morning. Maybe 3 if we can get some moderate rates. Will be a fast mover. MLK weekend bares watching
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Not upset about the 12z suite for Thursday night-Friday morning. I’m sure things things will change though between now and then
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Soooo many places closed today because of the snow. One of my friends couldn’t even get their Instacart order. First world problems I guess
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Onto the next threat! Of course models are not in agreement. Right now the euro has it but it’s too far north. We get mainly rain here. Things will change of course
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Wakefield did get this one right. Their forecast was 4-6 for RVA. Got around 4 in Scotts Addition
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Even on the Kuchera maps which is suppose to differentiate between sleet and snow was wayyy overdone
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Yes!! So hard to get big snows here. Hard to get the cold and precip to match up. Would be nice to be in the bullseye and it verify. Just to note too, the GFS did horrible with this storm. Wayyyyyy overdone
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Pretty cool storm after temps in the 70s. Took a little too long for the changeover to happen. Some snow is better than none. Next threat could be as soon as Thursday night but as of now that’s looking like a complicated setup
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Beautiful out there now. Wish we had this last longer
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Nice band pushing through now
