JoMo
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Everything posted by JoMo
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That's for both systems though, not just the first one.
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00z Euro interacting with the lead wave more out to 54 hours. We'll see how this goes.... EDIT: Bit farther north this run. No big surprises.
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Yeah it was. Bumped up totals up there around KC by a bit.
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A west trend on the second storm would be nice for a few runs. Amazing couple of storms for this area.
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Looks like the lead wave is going to be missed by the 00z GFS by a whisker. Early on it was close though. That def needs to be watched.
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Probably the NAM just being awful like usual.
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So the NAM is interesting so far, lol
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Bit of a traffic jam with that wave around SE TX that keeps slowing down,
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Springfield afternoon AFD on snowfall:
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Ok, there's just too many models and model runs per day, I'm losing sleep. Welp...Time for the 18z NAM.
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Take this for example posted this morning, and compared it to same image at Pivotal. https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2021021112/111/snku_acc.us_c.png
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You have a sub to pivotalweather? Euro Kuchera is only available with sub. The numbers are off though, so I'm not sure if Pivotals or Weatherbell's algorithm is off.
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I think the weatherbell Kuchera map is way overdone. I'm not sure why it is always so much higher than the one at pivotal weather.
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No, and I'm not sure. It just digs farther south this run. The system after that will probably be farther south as well.
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Through 84, def a south shift on the 12z Euro.
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No big surprises in the 12z UKMET either.
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lol. Enjoy your 43" of snow.
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12z GFS V16 ups the amounts with the first system. EDIT: Watch it beat the 06z map posted above, hahah
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12z GEM did take a step in the right direction, still not exciting to look at but it's improved.
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The main failure point would be a weaker wave that doesn't take on a neutral/neg tilt. If this is just a positive open trough, then that wouldn't be good for big snow totals.
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I was sweating that one. Still a lot to be concerned about as far as the heavier amounts goes.
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A little more nervous on this GFS run because the ICON had a flatter wave.
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No big changes or surprises with the 12z NAM it looks like.
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Wichita ^ Springfield:
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There is indeed.
