JoMo
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Everything posted by JoMo
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Down to -8 here. Crazy cold.
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That's pretty much correct. The NAM is more negative tilted with the wave vs the flatter GFS. At hour 30, check out the 700/850 MB winds on the NAM vs the GFS.
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Liberty Utilities is also doing rolling blackouts. Springfield NWS says Joplin got 4" but I don't know about that. Somewhere between 4-7" has been reported. Also they are going with additional snow of 2-6" Tues night (most being their S and SE counties)
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So the Tues-Thurs or so storm is more difficult to discern. The initial round on Tues/Tues night is pretty clear cut but after that, it gets confusing due to differing model solutions on how the trough forms or behaves. The farther south and east you go, the greater the amounts is pretty clear. I think the NAM is probably the farthest northwest so far in this morning's model runs.
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The Wxbell Kuchera maps are obviously flawed. It wouldn't surprise me if it was purposely done in order to get people to post them to advertise or drive business to their site. Wichita was reporting 20:1 ratios yesterday.
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Yeah, the NAM did a great job (rare). It showed the 3 waves of precip on the 12z yesterday that eventually happened. The HRRR did very poorly.
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I would just guess (it's too cold) that we have somewhere between 5-7" out there now.
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Tulsa update.
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Tomorrow for you. Couple inches tonight, couple tomorrow.
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The 23z hrrr looks a lot like the 12z NAM today with the 3 waves of precip.
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There's the Winter Storm Warning upgrade from Springfield.
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Probably around 1-2". Big band moving in before long.
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The latest RAP has the snow band across Joplin while the HRRR misses it. The HRRR really hasn't done that great of a job today, has it?
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PEAK ALERT! But only in the winter, instead of the summer heat.
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Tulsa is about to get the heavier band of snow. Anyone from down that way around?
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Yeah, that band of snow is strange. It's currently snowing the hardest it's snowed all day right now. I'm not sure if it's tied to some kind of front or exactly what the deal is. I thought the 850MB front is farther south into NW AR, so I'm not sure what's forcing the band.
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Yeah, you should get a couple of inches at least.
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Well, the heavier band is supposed to weaken with time. You can see it's much narrower than it was this morning. With that being said, Wichita has had to add some counties farther northward to the winter storm warning that they had this morning due to high snow ratios. Those ratios would theoretically be less towards us.
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Just looks like solid advisory criteria snow totals? We got between 1-2" this morning? Plus an additional 3-4" expected later.
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SGF dropped my zone forecast to 2-4"
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The grass is almost covered, but it was already 3/4 covered by the last 2 days of flurries.
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A bit, but it's not as impressive and it tracks farther south, but it tosses some light stuff back our way.
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That's with the 2nd system added in I believe.
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Tulsa updated, chopped totals by about an inch, says SE OK and W AR expected to get the most.
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Yeah, if that happens, it snows in the area through much of tomorrow.
