Newman

Just a breezy shower blowing through, nothing crazy. On to the next threat whenever that is...

Two tornado warnings down in MD already

Well of course, I never root for death or destruction. But I'm a met student who loves extreme weather, as do most people on this board I assume. I'm here to track the storms and watch them atmospherically. What results from them is of course the worst part, but its fascinating. Take today for example. CAPE and instability is very limited. But look at the extreme 850mb jet we've got screaming above us! Shear and veering is off the charts. Hodographs are very curvy. In fact, get ready for a Tor watch, 80% by the SPC:

We'll see about this....I don't like the cloud debris and CINH around. Will need some sun or at least breaks in clouds to boost CAPE values.

Bassfield, MS just got hit by a likely EF4+ tornado with another one right on its heals. Unreal.

And soundings show storm motions will be upward of 65-70 mph. With that forward motion, it'll elevate the risk of a damaging wind threat.

I like the York/Lancaster/Chester county areas as a potential hotspot for an elevated risk for a tornado tomorrow around 17z-20z. Models showing some supercells forming and rolling through the area. Hodographs are very curvy due to the insane shear and wind profile up above, the LCL looks to be around 400-500 meters which is favorable too. If any sun can pop out for a time and boost SBCAPE values, watch out. Could be an interesting time tomorrow. Oh, and check out the 12z NAM. Snow on wednesday?

The 12z 3k NAM sure is showing some curvy hodographs. This one right around the DC area at 18z:

A rare Day 3 outlook upgrade:

I agree, the parameters are solid for some severe weather but the overall extent of convection and precip looks meager. Maybe a stray severe storm here or there tomorrow.

3k NAM sounding for my area tomorrow. Bring on severe weather already!

It just looks awful in the long range. I knew the trough/cold would want to center around the mid country and great lakes, but I figured maybe some high latitude blocking could bleed the cold east. Nope. Cold, dry. Warm, wet. Rinse repeat. Maybe March lol?

I would agree here. 1.75" of snow and 0.5" of sleet so a 2.25" storm total. A little over 7" on this abomination of a winter so far.

Mostly sleet here with some large flakes mixed in, 1.75" of snow.

1" on the board already.

That pink band that passed through Berks is tasty. It's straight dumping here right now. Roads and everything covered.

Wind blown light-moderate snow. 20 degrees.

Took until the 30 dbz echoes but yeah finally getting some wind blown light snow right now.

That backside band did wonders here. Finished with 2.5", season tally up to 4.8".

This back end band is ripping. Roads finally caving.

Light snow still, tapering off a little with lighter echos and drying beginning to become more evident. 1 inch of snow on the board.

Well at the least got a decent coating already on grassy surfaces. Light snow, bordering moderate at times. Temp down to 35.

Light snow has begun here in Fleetwood. After a high of 43, temp has dropped to 38

GFS improved a lot for Berks and Chester county's

GFS improved for much of the LSV