Scarlet Pimpernel

Same...I read through (more like skimmed) back several pages when I got up this morning. The actual discussion parts sounded pretty darned good to me, so I didn't get all these doom posts.

I await the Kuchera precip maps!!

It certainly was! Of course that whole winter 2013-14 was about as wall-to-wall as one can get around here. I don't recall the early Feb. 2014 ice event, maybe it was more in the northern part of MD where you're at. But yeah, that mid-month (around Valentine's Day) storm was great! I recall doing a Jebwalk taking pictures around 1AM, and it was just puking snow! That March was likewise incredible...a moderate event early in the month, the St. Patrick's Day storm, another small event on March 25 (my birthday!), and then even an inch right at the end of the month.

FYP!!

We always hope to get Barney'd with purple!!

It's a complicated development for sure. Almost looks like a northern stream system that pops a sort of coastal while the "primary" near the Lakes hangs on for a bit. Here's that closed low at 500 that I mentioned earlier (not sure why I can't copy/paste from TT, had to save the image and insert...but whatever):

Ice and 25 degrees at one point? Then briefly goes above freezing it appears.

Yeah there's some odd stuff going on. If you look at the upper midwest, the 12Z GFS now has this (small) closed 528 contour over MN at 500-mb, which I don't think was there or like that before. So yeah, a low over the Lakes area. But oddly, it looks (at least initially) still cold even southeast of that surface low.

Ending a sentence with a preposition is something up with which I will not put!! (I believe that's attributed to Winston Churchill, someone called him out on ending a sentence with a preposition).

Would that be an ass-hair away, to use Randy's parlance?

Not sure, but I bet it gets Panned a lot!

I thought he decoded it years ago, long before anyone else had a clue!

Looks like some kind of sophisticated Wordle puzzle!

OK, if we're still allowing Kuchera ratio plots...how about the slant-stick ratios???

Always go with the DGEX/CRAS combo...best scenario every time!

LOL that comment you responded to was like a direct feed for a slam-dunk, classic @ravensrule response by the one and only!!!

LOL no problem! But it is a well-known classic of course. If you haven't seen it, I'd highly recommend! Lots of famous quotes and scenes from "Casablanca." Though one of them is a misnomer...everyone uses the phrase, "Play it again Sam!" Yet that exact phrase was never once said in the movie. Bogart's character says, "Play it Sam, play it again. If you can play it for her you can play it for me!" Reminds me of Star Trek, never once did Kirk (or anyone else) actually say "Beam me up, Scotty!" He says "Scotty, beam us up" or things like that. Funny how "famous quotes" get misquoted like that!

Do you mean SE with the "main" low (that rains on us), or are you referring to what apparently might be a trailer that gives us some good snow? I thought the general idea is that we'd get rain around the 19th and then possibly snow with a follow-up wave. But I've only paid vague attention to the details here.

Nope, the movie "Casablanca"!!! Nothing like Twilight Zone!

LOL, no! It's from the movie "Casablanca" with Humphrey Bogart! Famous scene where Rick (Bogart) rigs the roulette table so his friend can win the money needed to fly out before the Germans marched in. Capt. Louis Renault (of the French police) "shuts down" Rick's place due to gambling. The other part of that scene is after he says the "I'm shocked!" line, someone comes by and says "Your winnings, sir!" To which Renault says "Oh, thank you!"

(moving to Banter...) Definitely a high-impact event! What you describe is more or less what I got at my place at the time in Silver Spring. There were a couple of inches on the ground early morning on the 26th, then the snizzle for several hours, then WHAM! late afternoon and evening. It was unreal. I got home just in time when the main part hit. It started quite literally like small chunks of ice for a short while (not the standard sleet balls, probably icy flakes), which quickly turned into heavy, wet snow. As I said in the other thread, we received 8" in about a 5 hour period, a total paste job. Very picturesque and stunning from a scenic standpoint. But also quite destructive as well, with the power outages and downed tree limbs. I lost power for almost 3 full days and it was pretty miserable to be honest. It actually got down to like the mid-upper 40s in my apartment by the time power was restored. If the power didn't come back when it did, I was giving serious thought to finding a hotel...though a lot were already full since many people were grabbing rooms for the same reason. I was able to go into work the next day and beyond, so was able to be in a decently warm building much of the day while my power was out! You're right, a lot of people initially kind of shrugged even after the NWS hoisted the warning, because it looked drizzly outside and not much happening. I recall OPM did finally send people home. Can't recall exactly how that went down but I think it was something like granting 2 hour early dismissal, but everyone leaving NO LATER than 3PM. I left around or just before 3PM. Fortunately my commute wasn't bad and I'm not far away from work. In hindsight, they should have let everyone out at like noon or 2PM. Plus, a lot of other businesses, etc., didn't close up or allow people to cut out early to avoid the inevitable mess, or they only did so very late. So at 3PM and beyond, nearly everyone in the metro area was out on the Beltway and other main roads, and that's about when things started to get ugly out. Lots of people stranded, with a several hours long commute well into the night in many cases.

Yeah, Commutageddon on Jan. 26, 2011. Also known as the "PSU Hoffman Storm" (@psuhoffman alluded to this above with his early call about that event...I even remember the thread for that event, it was labeled with his name!). I got 8" snow in about 5 hours from that, it was amazing...thunder snow even. It started as literal chunks of ice falling in the late afternoon that quickly turned into large flakes. I wouldn't exactly say that LWX "downplayed" the event so much. There was a sort of predecessor event in the pre-dawn and early morning hours that some areas did well in, prior to a lull, and then the main snow later. LWX as I recall actually upped the advisories in the area to winter storm warnings by late morning on the 26th, and even highlighted the potential commute issues (since it was to start right around then). I think most of the problem is that a lot of people figured it won't be too bad by the evening commute, so not many were sent home early. Or, they were sent home only a little early, but by then it was kind of too late...everyone was out on the roads. I know of a couple of people who lived a bit north of the DC metro area who were stuck on the roads until like midnight or 2AM!

Mel Brooks agrees!

Mmmmm, venison edibles (pairs well with Doritos)!