BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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I get it but the floor for my area is probably 34-36 tonight based on current obs and DPs. I want snow just as much as anybody but I’m not going to wishcast it. Rates can definitely overcome but that tends to be convective and isolated, not uniform.
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49/19. Warmed up way quicker than I had expected. Not anticipating anything more than wet grass. Token flakes are better than no flakes though!
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Clouds are close here. It’d be nice to put a cap on the temps since I’m inching close to the mid 40s.
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Good to see the models coming into a 800 mile agreement. Maybe a final solution will show up soon.
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Honestly it’s better to be let down before it happens than let down when it happens.
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As much as I hate to say it. Never. Trust. In-situ CADS. This winter sucks. That’s all!
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Hickory snow hole lives!
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Weirdly too, the 3K had slightly higher totals in areas where the 12k cut. I can’t recall too many times where I’ve seen that.
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What’s weird is that if you compare the position of the low at hr 42 from 06 to 12z, the low actually is about 25-50 miles further out to sea
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Warm nose made its return this run. Lets see what the rest of the 12z suite holds.
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Looked a little slower and spottier at first but it’s definitely making it up now.
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Heavy snow at hr 39 after several hours of off and on/spotty snowfall
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Nam at 33 not looking nearly as good
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Cloud cover moving in during the morning could be a huge help tomorrow. Noticed the Nam has thick cloud cover over WNC by 12Z. Temps for the most part max out area wide 38-42. Certainly a big difference from hitting 50.
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Oh I meant 4-6 ft
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I would gladly take 4-6 and cash out for the winter
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Is it only me or do the sleet/frz rain issues seem a little odd in this setup? I’ve lived in WNC my whole life and I can’t think of too many times a low in that position had a ton of sleet or frz rain mixing in. Usually just rain or snow and no in between with sharp gradients.
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That’s a solid improvement!
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Everybody take a deep breath on these OP runs. These are the same models that have squashed multiple systems this season only to bring them back within 48-72 hrs. They’re also the same models that have swung from 60s to 30s and back and forth for highs less than 4-5 days out.
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I’d sell 10 winters with an average high of 75 Dec-March for that one storm edit: make it 15
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The cold has been 7-9 days away every day since Thanksgiving. I said that Saturday but got blasted. Not trying to be pessimistic, I wish it would snow as much as the next person but I’ll believe the pattern when I see it.
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Climb baby climb!
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Light snow breaking out at the house. That band over Burke is finally producing.
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Stiff breeze and flurries in Burke!
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Rarely get excited in the foothills for NW flow but this setup looks prime for breaking containment.
