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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. I’m rooting for the GFS Ens in that range
  2. I stand corrected, not 70, but still close to 60 multiple days. Sun angle, ground temps, no cold air. 0/3.
  3. It’s going to take a serious push of cold air for it to be anything less than a 36 degree snowfall and wet grass. Temps are near 70 or higher forum wide mid week.
  4. This is likely a cold rain for anyone under 2500 ft
  5. Marginal, rate driven snowfall. Tell me where I’ve been sold this snake oil before lol. Why can’t spring just get here.
  6. I’ll gladly eat my crow. Happy they were right on this one! I want a record breaking SER for Spring and some thunderstorms to track now.
  7. 32.2 and dropping. This heavy batch might dip me below freezing.
  8. That’s a wild difference but we kinda sit in a small valley between two creeks. I consistently run 3-4 degrees below the airport each night. It’s a weird little microclimate.
  9. I’m down to 29.8 just to the west of Hickory
  10. Not sure. He said he would release a final call at 11, but seemed borderline unconcerned about any area south of Wilkes.
  11. I’d probably toss models 4 hrs ahead of start time
  12. 31.8 here...wasn’t supposed to dip below 32 until 2 am.
  13. Well ahead of pace here with temps... uh oh
  14. The main cloud deck is just now approaching western Georgia...it’s going to be interesting to see how much cooling can happen before then.
  15. Brad and about three other Mets I follow have expressed similar concern. Looks like the models don’t have a handle on the CAD (no surprise)
  16. I need to start using whatever model suite you guys are using
  17. GSP increased their totals on the ice accumulation map
  18. I’ll happily donate my ice totals to anyone that wants them
  19. I think they’re just starting to hone in on small nuances at this point more than anything. 3K more than doubled my ice total from 6z. We’re Nowcasting at this point anyways. edit: plus the HRRR is trending towards a more significant event which is not good news. It was spot on 2 weeks ago.
  20. A lot of that falls with temps around 32 in many areas. I can’t imagine it accumulates at the rate depicted by the 3K if temps aren’t at least in the 30-31 range.
  21. Can a met in here explain why we are seeing so much warmth aloft when the low is practically in the gulf?
  22. We need to remember that this high isnt nearly as transient as with recent storms. It’s much easier to lock in a long duration event when we have a feed of dry air from the north. I’m nervous about this one.
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