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Everything posted by BooneWX
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I’m rooting for the GFS Ens in that range
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I stand corrected, not 70, but still close to 60 multiple days. Sun angle, ground temps, no cold air. 0/3.
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It’s going to take a serious push of cold air for it to be anything less than a 36 degree snowfall and wet grass. Temps are near 70 or higher forum wide mid week.
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This is likely a cold rain for anyone under 2500 ft
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Marginal, rate driven snowfall. Tell me where I’ve been sold this snake oil before lol. Why can’t spring just get here.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I’ll gladly eat my crow. Happy they were right on this one! I want a record breaking SER for Spring and some thunderstorms to track now.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
32.2 and dropping. This heavy batch might dip me below freezing.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Up 6 degrees in 45 min- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
That’s a wild difference but we kinda sit in a small valley between two creeks. I consistently run 3-4 degrees below the airport each night. It’s a weird little microclimate.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I’m down to 29.8 just to the west of Hickory- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Not sure. He said he would release a final call at 11, but seemed borderline unconcerned about any area south of Wilkes.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Brad P cutting totals- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I’d probably toss models 4 hrs ahead of start time- 970 replies
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31.8 here...wasn’t supposed to dip below 32 until 2 am.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
31.8/26- 970 replies
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Well ahead of pace here with temps... uh oh
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The main cloud deck is just now approaching western Georgia...it’s going to be interesting to see how much cooling can happen before then.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Brad and about three other Mets I follow have expressed similar concern. Looks like the models don’t have a handle on the CAD (no surprise)- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I need to start using whatever model suite you guys are using- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I’ll happily donate my ice totals to anyone that wants them- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I think they’re just starting to hone in on small nuances at this point more than anything. 3K more than doubled my ice total from 6z. We’re Nowcasting at this point anyways. edit: plus the HRRR is trending towards a more significant event which is not good news. It was spot on 2 weeks ago.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
A lot of that falls with temps around 32 in many areas. I can’t imagine it accumulates at the rate depicted by the 3K if temps aren’t at least in the 30-31 range.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Can a met in here explain why we are seeing so much warmth aloft when the low is practically in the gulf?- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
BooneWX replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
We need to remember that this high isnt nearly as transient as with recent storms. It’s much easier to lock in a long duration event when we have a feed of dry air from the north. I’m nervous about this one.- 970 replies
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