Jump to content

BooneWX

Members
  • Posts

    2,418
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Impressive deepening off the coast. If it can crank that any sooner than what the GFS showed, somebody is getting blizzard conditions in the Carolinas.
  2. Too early to be stressing amounts when we were canceling winter a few days ago. Just enjoy the ride everyone! Buckle up.
  3. Euro has a storm and it was close to the result we needed. Take that as a win at day 8. I’d be more worried if there wasn’t a storm to be found.
  4. We’ll know how legit this is soon enough. The true big dogs are hunted a week out and waiver very little. I’ll never forget how the Dec 2018 had those preposterous runs 7-8 days out that we all scoffed at and it didn’t blink once that week.
  5. Snowpack fueled morning temps in the single digits all the way to the low country
  6. Nothing more electric than seeing the “hot” tag on the threads in the winter
  7. Don’t look now but still… that Monday/Tuesday timeframe is intriguing again. 12z GFS with a weak high over Pennsylvania and a disturbance trying to fester to our south. It even has snow showers breaking out over SW NC.
  8. Speak it into existence! The fat lady hasn’t sung yet. I still feel like we’re due a medium-short term surprise at some point in the next few weeks. The models are struggling.
  9. I love winter and cold as much as the next person but man… this is not the year for extremes to impact the energy sector.
  10. Would love to see the ensembles get on board here at 12z. It’s so so close… snow breaking out over Ark and Oklahoma is a huge weenie alert signal for at least the Carolinas. On the positive side - It feels like we should expect that any shots of winter weather at the front of this pattern change would likely come with little advance. At 7 days, I like this. The players are on the field.
  11. Shared this in the other thread but especially for us, this isn’t a bad look at the 7 day range. The high pressure location is very workable and should supply enough dry air down the spine. Now can we get that disturbance to turn into a slider or full on Miller A?
  12. This is not a bad look…. Sprawling high over the upper Midwest - which has produced the signature supply of cad many storms before. Clear storm signal to our south……this bears watching and it’s not in fantasy land.
  13. I agree. I don’t see any reason to think anything has been canceled or delayed. With a pattern change this stout and the teleconnections on the table, it’s wise to take the average of the models instead of falling for the back and forth of the Ops.
  14. Maybe I missed something but both the EPS and GEFS looked perfectly fine. If anything, it was a positive trend since the prior ensembles had the type of cold that’ll send the lows into Cuba.
  15. Deep breaths folks. The ingredients are on the table. Just gotta hope Russell Wilson ain’t the chef.
  16. That 18/19th timeframe just continues to look interesting.
  17. the OP has been on such a wild ride these past few days. It was still painting phantom hurricanes in the Atlantic just a few days ago.
×
×
  • Create New...