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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Radar looks way way more impressive than what the short range models had depicted.
  2. Completely unrelated to our area but the short range guidance for Buffalo and the Southtowns is borderline apocalyptic.
  3. Anybody with a glaze? My DP rose quickly last night and stalled temps at 35.
  4. Although we have fleeting cold air, that timeframe has been a signal on the models for a week now. It seems like it has some merit. Like I said the other day, you know what they say about the tail end of patterns
  5. If there ever was a cold chasing moisture scenario that should work out to a degree, it would be this one. Otherwise I’m convinced it’s not possible in the Lee. Short range guidance is showing a nice little thump of snow pivoting through tomorrow morning. Not gonna hold my breath but with the temps crashing so dramatically above our heads, you could probably get snow at the surface even if you were in the low 40s. @wncsnow let’s reel it in!
  6. You could take a gander at the whole southeast radar and convince yourself easily that we’re about to get a big surprise. I know it’ll get a more west to east orientation soon but that moisture over Alabama and Mississippi would have me salivating if I didn’t know better.
  7. It’s really a shame we’re whiffing on this one. If that precip shield came north a bit more, we’d all be enjoying a nice 2-4 inch event.
  8. I was so optimistic when it made it to Louisiana and then it just stops dead in its tracks with CAD firmly entrenched to the north lol. We can’t get a break.
  9. Ya know what they say about the tail end of patterns
  10. Was just thinking the same thing. My biggest fear from the start was that the push of cold would be too much. When people started talking about the piece of the polar vortex breaking off, I had a bad feeling. It’s such a balancing act and this surge is just too overwhelming to kick off anything meaningful in our area. I’d love to see one good classic setup in Jan or February where we can get a sprawling high over upstate NY and rely on true CAD.
  11. Hour 72 on the NAM is such a teaser. That 1041 high over Canada almost gets the job done but it’s just a bit too far away to make it happen.
  12. 17.2 this morning. We live in a cold sink, so I’m at least excited to see what happens over this next week. Won’t be surprised if I can hit single digits Saturday morning.
  13. Best advice I have for everyone to consider, if you get some spare time or a weekend where northwest flow is forecasted, don’t hesitate to head up with the family. A lot of people don’t realize it, but when they close the parkway for snow, it’s open to recreation. Take the sleds and enjoy. I know it’s never the same as snow in your backyard but it’ll satisfy the itch enough. I’m down in Burke County now, but always try to go up when a big flow event is forecasted.
  14. Hope this trends drier. I’m absolutely sick of the rain.
  15. You can toss the UKMET in the improved department too
  16. Yea and it’s important to stay wary of the main thread. For most, I hate to say it, they live in areas where storms in borderline perfect setups don’t work in their favor. And when they don’t, it’s all pessimism and hate for anyone that does score.
  17. Annnnnnnd we’re back to an east coast solution. Gonna be curious to see if we get any level of agreement from the euro.
  18. Ridge looks flatter than 18z at hr 90 but let’s see how this goes
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