WarmNose

Steady as she goes 

00z December 7

18z November 29

17 minutes ago, griteater said:

Euro Weeklies have a chilly pattern look for January

Western ridge holding strong 

Brick still thinks he’s getting 6”. Jesus H

Ive seen these storms set up shot with a raging sleet storm between Mauldin and Greenwood. North side of 276 in Mauldin usually sitting right on that snow transition line. All goods north from there 

3 minutes ago, ozmaea said:

Simpsonville?

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk
 

yeah

1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said:

Nice map! 

I can see Caesars head getting 12” easily! TR gets 4-6+”

How much for golden strip? Will we get 6-12 like Brick?

Everyone to the bow of the ship. This sucker is going down 

1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said:

Yeah, I’m down to 12-14”, not liking the downward spiral trends!

Looking at weather.us it looks like we start as rain, we wet bulb several hours later and a raging SN/IP/ZR storm ensues. Looks like mostly IP but it’s some really heavy stuff. Epic epic sleet storm 

3 minutes ago, burgertime said:

Look where the red dot is 

 

 

That’s a possum kingdom special. Mauldin Mauler. Nice pbp burger 

8 minutes ago, Poimen said:

FV-3 through 0Z Monday.

So this goes off of soundings and not TT sfc maps im guessing?

Taking the family to Bryson City to ride the Polar Express 2 weekends from now. Bought tickets months ago. It’s safe to say dad did a good job of scheduling that one 

6 minutes ago, Regan said:

Wow. Not as conservative as I was expecting. Brad Ps 1st call map. 

Can we trade Chris Justus for Brad P? I understand why CJ goes with the “North of 85” call. He’s been burnt a lot already and he’s a young guy

NAM was about to go to town at the end of that run. Deep entrenched wedge. DP’s looked fantastic

Hugging the Ukie south of 85 here in the upstate. Euro should come in similar. I’m a glutton for punishment

6 minutes ago, Touchet said:

Anyone worried about the NW trend?

Why would I worry about the NW trend when models are already giving me rain..? I am at peace 

Looks like the timing was off with the Icon. Strong high pressure. Slow moving east though 

4 minutes ago, jjwxman said:

Like this?  12z NAM:

Wow. South VA dp’s in the low teens..looks good to me 

8 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Quote of the day “ once models go warm, they don’t come back!” 

Our wave isn’t been properly sampled yet..

24 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

I’m always scared to start out as rain, but that’s a good look! How’s DPs on FV3

It’s ok. Rates will overcome

Bad start at 12z with the ICON. Low track still looked good to me but it blew up and cold air was absent

LP trended a tick stronger for tonight’s 00z runs. Not what we want. FV3 worked out for a lot of us but it wasn’t pretty. See if Euro follows suit

FV3 stuck at 120. Low hanging out in Mexico is a tick stronger than 18z. Hopefully a stronger LP isn’t the trend tonight..

S/w entering CA. Similar to Christmas 2010? Was just going back looking at some old threads. Forgot how much hell yall gave cold rain for starting an early thread. Vintage nugget

2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

With the ample HP to the north, CAD should be locked into place NW of 85.  This is gonna be a snow or no event with a crazy sharp cutoff somewhere between Burlington and Durham.  We've seen this movie before!

You nailed it pal. At least Travelers Rest is a short drive for my little family 

9 minutes ago, JoshM said:

Yes... I saw that, but it's still hard to believe, those amounts.

Yeah, that’s a lot of ice. The upstate had a couple barn burners back in the early 2000’s that we haven’t been able to replicate. I was always under the impression that you wanted to be somewhere in the mid to upper 20’s to maximize ice accretion. I guess everything hinges on rates since ZR is a ‘self limiting’ process. I’d take my chances 28