WarmNose

12 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

RGEM was never showing an inch of ice for the upstate, lol.

Whatever source you guys were using for those RGEM maps was showing ice accrual based of a stock 1 to 1 ratio of rain to ice if the surface temp was < 32.

Greenville did get over .75 inches of liquid with temps less than 32 degree's. Problem is the temp was 31.5 to 32 during that time with torrential downpours, so only a light glaze was realized.

 

So in summary, the Rgem nailed this storm, but your ability to read it's modeled output failed. #RgemFTW, lol

RGEM failed miserably on temps. It said I was at 31 while I sat at a balmy 37 before precip rolled in. Icon nailed total precip in the days before the storm and 3k nam nailed temps. I won't look back at this one and say "Man, the RGEM had this one pegged" 

This is the GFS at 168. Hope it's not too far in the LR to get another lecturing. Anyway, Packbacker would love this look 

6 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Buff chic dip, wings, fresh guacamole, homemade wings, few angry orchards apple, nachos! 

Praying for Eagles to win! Hate Brady more than 33 and rain

Mack, you hate the pats that bad!?

the only things I hate more than 33 degree rain are a stubbed toe, 3rd degree sunburn, and low-fat Mayonaise 

11 minutes ago, frazdaddy said:

So, whats the snack list like for everyones superbowl? Whats on tap?

Fist full of homemade boiled peanuts and a 12 pack of XX Ambar

Hey Mack, hope you didnt lose power this morning! I haven't looked outside but I'm assuming there's an inch of ice on the ground based on what the RGEM was showing yesterday! #3kFTW 

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

One thing looks certain.. the drought conditions many piedmont areas have been experiencing are about to be gone. Within the next 7 to 8 days 2 to 5 inches of rain looks likely for much of the SE

CMC agrees

I'm really enjoying my non event here in the upstate. 32 degree rain is pointless when it's coming down in buckets

31 minutes ago, jburns said:

A thousand year event and two-thirds of this forum think we are overdue.

Do snow records go back that far? Which data base do you use? TIA

I'm feeling a 33 degree nothing burger on this one. Pingers at the onset and I'll call it a winter 

That was an awesome list

but don't forget "Rates will overcome"

18 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Been there , done that! Knocked out 40+ wings at Wild Wing cafe lunch buffet Tuesday!

Tadpole does have good hush puppies and them pickled onions! Delish

If you like sushi, and a challenge, Hibachi Cafe on Laurens Road has AYCE hibachi & Sushi for around $20 and it's actually good food. Have at it. Eat yourself stupid. You won't want sushi again for at least 3 months

45 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

I'm not sure if they brought it back, but they use to have all you can eat perch and or chicken tenders on Wed/Thur I believe, but they stopped it , I haven't been in quite awhile! The trays are awesome 

They still have all you can eat specials I believe. Not 100% but last time I went I had the perch and chicken AYCE. French fries and cold slaw. Ate myself sick, Mack

42 minutes ago, Southern Track said:

I used to go every week with the family! Gotta love the metal prison trays they served the food on.

Im convinced the metal trays haven't been changed since the late 80's. Gives the fried fish and slaw a certain old school flavor 

All of this bad talk about catfish in here is completely uncalled for. I'm not sure you should be allowed to comment in a Southern weather forum if you don't like fried catfish and hush puppies! C'mon 

Mack have you ever been to the Tadpole Fish Camp in Greer? Ohh myyyyy!!

14 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Quick , somebody post their acccuweather 45 day local forecast!

In the main thread? 

In the main thread like

35 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Hard to be overly excited about anything more than a brief period of wintry mix this weekend.  There is no strong high in the right position, and the cold air source isn't as cold as I'd like to see.  So far, I'm not impressed with a really cold and stormy pattern setting up anytime soon either.  Looks cooler than normal mostly and certainly no torch.  So that's good.  Plus, there seem to be multiple precip events.  So that's good.  But it looks like moderate/precip/cold/moderate/precip/cold to me.  Perfect timing will be very key over the next 15 days.  Hopefully, the last half of the month and into March will provide a more solid period of sustained cold.  That seems to be and have been the consensus.  We'll see, I guess.

Here's the last run of the CFS for Feb.  Not bad:

That's a great look. Those of us east of the mountains are almost solely dependant on a damming HP and with cold aplenty to our north it won't take much. Really need to develop some blocking here in the next 2-3 weeks. These blue anomaly maps won't do us much good once average temps begin to rise

34 minutes ago, frazdaddy said:

This one when it's known that it is wishful and improbable information.

Fraz, first off I think you're a great poster and asset to this weather forum. With that said, why have a long term Discussion if we can't talk about LR model output? Many posters (lurkers) do not know how to sort through or even find model information so I find it very helpful to post maps so people can get a sense of what's going on even if it's at the end of a model run. We've been waiting on the models to get a grip on the pattern change and now LR surface maps are starting to reflect that. This is supposed to be informative as well as fun. Sadly, many of you guys make it "not fun" at times

Edit: I've followed this board since 09' so I'm not just a guy trying to stir the pot and insert my own will into the forum. 

In what universe is model discussion, in any form, considered banter?

This one was right at hour 240. Just to be safe, I'm going to put it here in banter

37 minutes ago, WeatherNC said:

Please stop posting 300+ hour op maps in the disco thread, these are nothing more than banter.

Ok. But just to be clear at what hour is a map considered discussion and when is it considered banter. 240'ish cutoff?

If only that was 120 hours out. We all know the NW trend would commence and it would be another "Mainly north of I85" deal  

Boom goes the dynamite 

24 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Upon further investigation, the Monday Tuesday deal looks looke a trailing wave after a Sunday rain? Maybe cold air can trickle down after the first wave? Not feeling it at the moment 

CJ gave it the kiss of death and said "we'll keep an eye on it"  

This argues for a stronger Damming effect on the 6th..the HP is transient and not in an ideal position though 

worth keeping an eye on