STILL N OF PIKE

Gfs .. will that first low go OTS

Its still far enough away that I just hope we have a storm modeled in the Same vicinity in 24 hours but I agree with that general sentiment

12z euro was basically the holy grail run for NE mass S NH . We pray there . Seems we need a deepening coastal with a tight mid level track to overcome BL for CP

He wound have a better chance trolling for a Rainer than a whiff , but he already showed his hand . Still lots of time thou

At least mid level temps don’t look to cook interior elevations (along pike and south ) like tolland Or Orh on this one , like they have much of year

Great to have something to track , nice euro run

as is , I’m buried . Just was wondering if that would effect East goal posts

Does the N stream ULL back by Great Lakes have a tendency to want to pull this more west or should I say limit the East goal posts of the surface low . Besides 925’s You can see 5H temps are pretty torchy )relatively ) like -2/-4 , usually don’t see those so mild

You’ve called the hotline before we anticipate you picking up the phone again

Oh definitely, And I may change my mind tomorrow lol . For Se mass I think it is much harder / more thread the needle then outside 495 belt

Leaning wet in E sne

WPC disco Early next week, the eastern trough will track further offshore while another trough/low pushes into the north-central U.S./south-central Canada. There are some variations in timing and depth of these lows, but nothing too egregious for the medium range period. This upper low tracking into the central U.S. may dig a bit by Monday-Tuesday as it shifts into the Great Lakes region while ridging amplifies behind in the Interior West. The odds are becoming better that this will promote consolidation of another East Coast surface low, but again with considerable spread in the ensemble mean.

Perhaps a sacrifice this evening could be injested into models by 0z weenies demand snow or blood

Just a announcement for amwx Members we are planning on extending the hours of the weather weenie crisis hotline beginning Thursday am and continuing until Tuesday . There is a lot riding on the potential storm Tuesday now that Saturday is toast and we are beefing up our staffing preparing for melts. Please be advised we are professionals

Well when you combine the “hit percentage “ on day 10 good looks with a model bias to under forecast heights in the SW do to what was a strong Nina base State ..you get a batting average about 1/4 of what Rob Deer’s batting average was for S coast of SNE and about Mendoza line for Nashua ..probably more like Wade Boggs for Central NH

Steady Flurries And 29 in Trashua Nh

It’s been off . Now time to hope Tuesday happens and watch for the hugger . I just want a big storm

Confluence killing its ability to move into New England . Maybe SW Ct gets something

I don’t see the weakening signal really on this, maybe Scott or will could chime in on

Crushed SE mass

Can we get a 10 day map. Scooter was asking

They are well oiled this year

If only Scott wiped better

The euro is still a bit better than the gfs it’s not the “king “ but you aren’t going to find a model that is better in other words , you don’t toss the euro at day 4

B.B.P