Jump to content

STILL N OF PIKE

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    14,848

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. STILL N OF PIKE
    The 850 lift looked pretty damn consistent on Canadian for 128 area out to almost 495 im just talking models verbatim they are still showing entirely different setups so I’m sure it will change 10 more times
  2. STILL N OF PIKE
    Saw that . SNE had pulses of good mid level lift . Canadian had better mid level goodies into cne /even NNE then other models if you look at the lift on the gfs, not saying it will play out but scroll thru 5H/7H Vertical velocities from the N stream mid level lows , it’s uncanny how long and consistent it was across our latitude (W to E) and ...and then extends another 4 hours at end as W side of Eastern lobe lift hits E mass late
  3. STILL N OF PIKE
    There was prolonged lift at 5H and 7H for most of Massachusetts West to East as those N stream mid level lows took their time going under us on gfs . That was rather impressive duration
  4. STILL N OF PIKE
    Umm ok , that’s about as wide a discrepancy I’ve seen on clowns compared to depth change
  5. STILL N OF PIKE
    I think it’s getting clear Odds are increasing every model run a low will be going wide right But what I don’t get is what in the heck is giving us 2.5 QPF basically across mass entire longitude that run at such higher rates . Is it believable ?
  6. STILL N OF PIKE
    Honestly thou I have never seen a IVT repeatedly show such heavy precip over so long , is it a fraud of sorts . Is the forcing not going to be a sufficient Or hard to buy . I mean I hear you say it’s garbage and I do believe you But it shows 2.5 qpf over large area and im lost . What are the big flags with this
  7. STILL N OF PIKE
    Clowns seem to like it more thou i mean Jesus
  8. STILL N OF PIKE
    Now that is wide right ensembles have had More and more well East members as day has gone on
  9. STILL N OF PIKE
    Scott May like the gfs ..S low is heading for Bermuda
  10. STILL N OF PIKE
    Feels like I have been tracking this for a month
  11. STILL N OF PIKE
    It was tucked a bit and more of a inland elevation deal / later flip
  12. STILL N OF PIKE
    Is that southern stream just losing a little more latitude every model run on its track W-E As it traverses the south or is it me I figured it was a good thing N stream went south with it compared to if it didn’t
  13. STILL N OF PIKE
    3k nam flips and accumulates most all of ct by 9z Tuesday . System is further south on that as well . Just one of the many options
  14. STILL N OF PIKE
    Big QPF cut off North of Lowell , not shocked given both short waves were south .8 ASH
  15. STILL N OF PIKE
    Right over elbow and up to PVC and not from East of 70w
  16. STILL N OF PIKE
    Looks ready to blitz CT /Orh /E mass away from coast a bit after 15z
  17. STILL N OF PIKE
    It’s gonna be south . Both short waves Are
  18. STILL N OF PIKE
    I don’t think nam is gonna do much north of route 2 here . I’m at hr 48 close to consolidating better but next hour could show no beans
  19. STILL N OF PIKE
    S stream further south ..again and cut totals My guess on this one is congrats NW NJ NW CT and Maybe SE mass (not in reality but on this run ) Gradient May shift SE on this run even thou 18z was already way East . Really depends on the phasing of E lobe and rest thou
  20. STILL N OF PIKE
    I count about 18 that look like straight garbage that never make it inside 75 miles of elbow ( After trying but failing to hook in close enough from Flemish cap
  21. STILL N OF PIKE
    Looks like your good by 67/68. You would see big damage
  22. STILL N OF PIKE
    I won’t be In ash unless stars allign perfectly , not planning on ash anywhere from S monads to N Orh to Berks ..I’m pretty sure I know where I want this one . I see a increasing chance that a far wide right low doesn’t make it that close to elbow either and ends up well East . I would take a low at elbow thou I just don’t like seeing ensemble members MSLP’s 250 miles SE of ack back Nw and stopping 75 miles ESE of CHH For a short glancing CCB even if that’s what it takes to snow in Boston
  23. STILL N OF PIKE
    I don’t plan on being In Nashua for this , but either way I fear the further East shift and later start to CCB / glancing blow But that is also why I asked to see 925’s at hour 69/72 etc which I will check out on COD at 755
  24. STILL N OF PIKE
    Let’s not , I don’t like betting on a hook and ladder coming in from Georgia bank . We are gonna have to sacrifice S shore and Boston imo
  25. STILL N OF PIKE
    Ya that garbage appendage 300 miles SE of cape cod is missing on 18z (much further West and more dominant ) so the CCB seems like it’s more consolidated around the coastal and less around the weaker area of LP near IVT
×
×
  • Create New...