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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. Anyone who remotely gets this right with accumulations with a final map before am commute is gonna be a star
  2. Has box come out with a new AFD since they let George right the last one
  3. I saw it posted/ linked to This thread this am around 8-9am Would love Harv input as we are really all sitting around responding to the scattershot or model runs pour in and be all over the place I really enjoyed Oceanstwx post about Why he thought the 12z nam MSLP position made sense . I would assume if the General vorticity being tracked East off Carolinas is still meh then his opinion still stands but I felt like that really added to the thread .
  4. Not at all . I’m simply saying at 200’ you are in valley (even in the edge ) and that is a real bad spot for this storm and I didn’t think you realize it as your new to the area
  5. You are at 200’ in valley..even if edge . They tried to ...ahh ok good luck
  6. This is a great way on day 7 of watching the same system to drive a weenie crazy , it’s great
  7. The lift disappeared over W mass and N orh county ..so inside of 1.5 days we have a new solution For many on cape and interior
  8. Jay will be nam says it doesn’t matter and doesn’t clear 14” really anywhere but Catskills and Cape cod
  9. Nam was probably the worst run of storm except for Bos / pym county cape cod
  10. Nam was a disaster unless you live in cape cod or Catskills but better for scooter and se mass / and cut back in Berks Orh county hugely and Ne mass it slayed weenies
  11. And people are Going to still wake up surprised how E slopes have 25 and death valley 5.
  12. Very busy looking but It does show you how much Incredibly faster elevations flip
  13. Looks like many Out East aren’t hooking at all really between 42-48 but more of a “hook” from Ne to N . *Point being* still lots of Spread
  14. There are 15 members within 10 miles (or further out) than the OP
  15. The secondary is by the Flemish cap who is benefiting when it takes over , that is one of the further N tracks of the N stream mid level low (moves West to East at a higher latitude than other runs of gfs with similar idea ) . This is such a precarious set up it’s funny . Thou I would guess euro should handle that well if it’s idea with the faaaar East low is right
  16. To be honest by the time he wakes up there could easily be new trends
  17. The Ensembles have had more Than a dozen Far East members going back 24 hours so that was on table
  18. Just slide the Berks shade Over a bit as E slope goes into the county to the East
  19. Ya I mean unless you check a topo map AND understand orographic lift and the degree of its benefits I’m sure many weenies have been led astray with the models showing big lift between 5-7H from the mid level lows going under and the way 2k helps temps in addition to ESE to E flow at 850 cranking , (I think that helps ) I wound imagine 25-30”somewhere between Berks and S VT on E slope And potentially even higher if things line up
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