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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. Big puddles at the base near the lift lines ?
  2. Bear spray (if it’s mace) sounds like a horrible idea . Who in their right mind would want to wait till a bear gets within arms length of them to piss it off by spraying it in eyes , also given wind conditions at the time its easy to spray it back in your own face . It seems like something backed by studies that really can’t replicate the reality of an angry bear sold so someone has peace of mind (but marketed as “scientific “) . But I’m sure people just hear “scientific studies “ and they’re like ok good enough . Good luck replicating the real world danger of a bear actually charging you to eat you in a scientific setting lol. I would guess it works better on other animals that aren’t going to straight charge you like a bull .
  3. Was probably just a hairy dilf chasing him down for a tip after lifting his AC Into place
  4. Thank you . It’s like bizarro world
  5. I personally think it’s fine to install then uninstall if someone wants to , I mean ..it’s not hard. If your like Kev and don’t hit the weights maybe you get your nearest DILF dad bud to lift them out of window for you , but the key is that if you have access to AC why in the heck would you sweat for two days ..instead of flipping Central air or installing . If you were not uncomfortable or sweating then great but If you were ....
  6. Sweat combining with snow melt up north leading to rising water levels 90 in Nashua
  7. It’s ok to be cheap . If I’m sick , can’t do much about it . If I’m sweating as I sit in the house , I turn on AC. It’s simple
  8. Anyone waking up in a puddle of their own sweat that doesn’t turn on the AC so the fam can be comfortable is penny pinching
  9. The market is at a pretty serious inflection point Market has rallied generally since the dollar topped in October , and this bear market rally of the last month plus has been mostly 7 large stocks , so to me it looks like rally is running out of steam Also the regional bank crisis of mid March led to the biggest cutback of lending in history to the tune of 104 Billion in the last 2 weeks of March as regional banks greatly tightened their lending standards, this increase the chance of recession significantly The SP500 (market ) is coming up on a key level that often marks the difference between a bear market rally and a new bull market . When the SP500 gets above its 20 month moving average and defends that level its a bullish indicator of a new bull market . That level is 4200 and we need a monthly close above that level . Given how far we rallied so far , there is a lot of room for stocks to pullback from here if they can’t close above that key level . Currently we are at 4120. Two key indicators to watch are the VIX (volatile index ) and also the BKX (banking index). The Vix has a 5 year slowly rising trend line of approx 18.2/18.3 and we are right in the high 18’s . Every time in last several years it tests that level of support , it has spiked higher and stocks Have fallen , so for a rally to continue and to take us to a Monthly close above the 20month moving average , we are gonna need a break below that 5 year trend line . VIX is a nice symbol to monitor Also , the Regional banking index is currently Right around it’s level of very long term support (that trend line ) is always defended and if it falls below..the Fed usually intervenes in some fashion to stabilize it . So , if we don’t get the rally that takes us to a new bull market it appears likely the banking index is going to break below long term support and that cloud lead to rapidly deteriorating credit and financial conditions and sharp spike in volatility . In the past such instances have led to quick market falls followed by quick fed intervention . Currently BKX is at 81.5 and very long term trendiness is 77.7 Seems to me , one of these long term supports is going to need to give shortly and it will be a significant event .
  10. Well , market anticipated Core CPI YOY to be 5.6 and it was, (Core CPI excludes food and energy ) and the fed tends to monitor that closer there are other measures Monthly CPI (includes energy and food ) was supposed to rise .2% and came in at .1% (thanks to price falls at pump) last month . But since OPEC scaled back production prices shot back up a little over a week ago so that could easily bump more next month
  11. 72 in the house . 65 outside laying in bed , and about to turn the AC on . I usually sleep with windows open in cool season but 65 out is not cooling house . I like mid 60’s Max for sleeping
  12. Market / stock / finance related CPI number comes in at 830am Wednesday There is a 5 year slowly rising trend line of support on the VIX (volatility chart ) every time the market has tested the bottom of that trend line the Vix pops a bit and market drops . Looks to me like if CPI comes in favorable then the VIX could potentially close below the trend line on the day and the week , which would likely lead to a leg higher in stocks in the short term . (all risk assets , including crypto would see the bump ) best performing asset of the year so far is BTC .
  13. I’ll Central air, so when when the temp inside the house gets above 70..it’s going on (so probably Thursday p.m) . Then it will likely go off as long as outside temp is in 50’s when I go to bed .
  14. Install early and use it when you want . Few things I enjoy less than a humid nite with only a ceiling fan - I run very warm normally cant get much nicer than today until swimming season . 68 and sun
  15. Totally normal obsession w that strange stein
  16. I recall I used to hear Art lake Say that in middle school With the channel 6 news and those graphics
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