STILL N OF PIKE

Looks like a SE swell begins Sunday w occasional waist high sets and may peak Tuesday in RI this week with OH sets , just eyeballing things . Too bad the recurve didn’t occur after like a day of due N movement Hopefully the MDR produces another one after that ...looks like the angle could produce fairly well for ESE prone locales (SE NH /Outer cape/ Maine

Pumpkin spice and FMB’s .

Poof on next MDR system that was modeled to a Hurricane in a few days ?

By the time it hits, i'm hoping it can merge with a canadian Airmass

Hr 384 cane here 18z gfs

All political tweeters know their audience is looking for confirmation bias , not to do research on a tweets validity. It’s got to the point I would be skeptical of any tweet from any media outlet because any political media is in a mindset of war right now (politically) , and in addition vast majority of media (mainstream and “alternative”) have a clear bias for ratings which requires emotion (often knee jerk) thru their friends ( fear and division) and they cater to (if not MOLD) their audiences beliefs !, and their corona coverage is a case study in milking the fear button.

Good timing with that big announcement NDQ, SP fell to 50 day M.A and are bouncing this am. Maintaining a risk on stock atmosphere is key to sustaining insane tech bubble valuations, looks to me that no large stimulus in future (which was priced in) is the biggest culprit in ending the concentrated frenzied buying atmosphere that sustained NDQ thru (AAPL/FB/MSFT/AMZN/GOOG) I would anticipate High volatility unless that is passed or even a piece meal bill.

Just saw that. Could be James

We know how it often goes if the people gathering are not liberals, 80% of the media reporting is scare mongering catering to a demographic and I been leaning liberal 35 years of my life but I can still call a spade a spade .

Just best to wait till they go significantly below 2000 tech bubble valuations regardless

Market is barely bouncing off 50 day moving averages after significant 3 day fall . Time for the fed and banks to call “ congress “ into closed door session and explain this System is as fragile as Wylie Coyote regarding current asset values and their importance regarding systematic solvency . They are worried about making interest payments 10 years down road instead of hitting brakes as car is speeding toward a cliff .

Unfortunately I wasn’t here for Bill. Eduard in late 90’s was sizable the day of closest approach There was a ocean storm that backed up S of Nova Scotia and sent some very large 10 feet @ 13 second swell to SE NH last year seems every year or so I see a 7 or so foot /@10-11 second period S/Se swell Isabel in SFL was magical in south Palm beach , while 20 miles south or north was completely blocked by Bahamas. A weather geek could appreciate the new providence channel that allows a several hour “slot swell” to appear over a 15 mile stretch when the swell angle is within 2-3% of true ESE. That was a 15 foot swell that appeared over 2 hours and disappeared that nite . Those were 20 foot faces. Many must have thought they were hallucinating when the first sets made their way thru that channel . Photo is not me.

I’ll take 18z verbatim That looks like a nice 7-8 foot swell at about 11 seconds for Wednesday pm (10 days ) I just don’t want OTS at 50w

we may have something here on 18z GFS...hour 180 looks more interesting than last few days runs

The one thing I would love to experience is a late October cane coming up from South and phasing with some anomalous arctic energy that destroys parts of western /NNE . Heck NNE could probably even do it mid October feels like that’s more likely than any strong 2/3 coming at us. I would enjoy DIT’s posts for that

Euro sputters utter crap. Maybe EPS is active

Nothing like the torch today thou

So much for that big bad WAR...looks A LOT more troughy for mid september than the LR did a week ago.

What are your thoughts on the parade of MDR potential distrubances and the key to them not recurving at 55w

18z is awful, weakness opens up at 55w and sucks the storms right up

This active period has been 10 days out for a week now. Seems like it’s finally not getting pushed back further but we need better timing with that mid Atlantic Ocean weakness to not let the (modeled Day 4-7 canes ) escape . Right now some models look sort of ridiculous with the escape at 50w , the trapping at 55w and zig zagging then well east out to sea. I could see ridge or ridge weakness trend to a clean escape into westerlies at 50-55W or be in and a bit closer to Bermuda Next couple day trends are key !

They are recurving potentially around 50-55. Worst case .

You moving to snowier pastures

Swingers already ?

zzzz