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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. Reading the Tea Leaves...In short this looks like more of a cutter pattern than it did a week ago. Trough is too far west over E 1/2 of USA for SNE. Cold/dry...Mild up/wet. Yes we may have chances these things turn out better do to nuances but unless the trough pushes FURTHER east over the CONUS things look cutty. Who cares if weenies revolt....give em the truth. It will accelerate the re calibrating of their snow dreams for December instead of drawing out some vague "we got chances" dialogue to keep their negativity from making the thread "unreadable" . They take "we got chances" as hmm 50/50 we are above normal for snow...lets think positive...big snow chances coming. Maybe things look better by Xmas week with trough placement and things. Did i read tea leaves right?
  2. Did you have many reports from elevations or are those generally sparse ? Seems many in Maine Got tons of liquid but Missed warning snows by being about 500 feet Too low elevation . Just wondering what someone with another 500-800” elevation would have seen In interior SW Maine .
  3. I just gotta day for my area ..despite the airmass it got down to 32 At 145-2pm in afternoon and had 2” with meat of the lift forecast from 18z - 0z. We had solid rates till 3pm but the lift did not arrive as advertised in Nashua from 19z to 0z . 1/2 mile snow was not getting it done and we all knew this and the forecast were all calling for huge lift and 1-2” rates mid to late afternoon and into evening . It just didn’t happen and we did have more shredded Radar here compared to Other spots relatively close (west or east or south ) but ya the late afternoon lift not materializing as forecast was the prime reason for the forecast bust here .
  4. Congrats to Phin. This was a agonizing storm for those watching the model swings for several days and then when everything seemed to line up well..at least for a couple ...it produced big .
  5. The poster near 93 in Plymouth at 1100' had a horrible bust so my guess is 25 miles further north at Loon's low base elevation stunk as well. Up high they probably had a significant gradient.
  6. Same time the snow.... stuck to the radar apparatus and the radar crapped the bed for a while ...it was all down hill for many ..not all lol.
  7. This storm was an embarrassment. To have 2 inches by 145 pm and wind up with 3 inches total is just against all intelligent thought given where this was heading via modeling and forecasts at that point. We flipped by 1045 in Nashua..ahead of schedule....forecast for 6 plus and looked to be over performer and we just had a combo of shiat lift after 4pm and garbage temps.
  8. You will not see any help from your Vermont buddies tonite , just you and maybe Alex and a random Mainer
  9. In hindsight we can always say this Should have been done or that but man I believe most would be sucked in again after 30 runs of different models that showed more than 10” . Even KTAN busted high for most Sometimes some set ups are just too difficult to accurately forecast .
  10. If someone can imagine a bunch of medium sized wafers, Ok now toss them in a full bath tub with cool water. ...let them soak and nearly fall apart for a bit . Now drop them from the sky. That is the glop falling in ASH. Bedford Mass now has fluffier snow.
  11. it's funny . I bet Chris at 425' has less slop and more paste in Nashua
  12. Gonna see how Miller state park did early tomm am. Backed off from driving there bc it was coming down pretty hard at 11 am lol.
  13. Chris you must have one of the highest elevations in Nashua
  14. How's Lava rock doing at his elevation. I would guess he's doing very well but ...may not have power?
  15. Sorry for mini melt ... Just went for a walk outside. Looks to be regenerating Seems we are having some issues accumulating last hour or so in Nashua. Maybe just due to less lift for a time
  16. So if you look outside the next couple hours and don't see much falling...its the radar having snow on it.
  17. What radar product do you use and you did say you have been at a bar all day right..
  18. it was suppose to change over around now ...not die I didn't like the look of 925 winds going Due N/NNW at 21z...thats basically when radar dimmed. Models didn't have that effecting rates like this. Time to eat , getting very hangry.
  19. Ya , i'm about to throw some stuff. What's up with this lift going poofy poof
  20. Who turned off the power. 21z to 0z was suppose to be max lift over Ne Mass.
  21. Ya looks like someone dimmed the lights on the lift from S Nh into metro west last half hour.
  22. Also upper winds turning more N/NNW it would appear. Short term models cut lift back west of LWM for the late evening that i saw.
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