its a quick hitting period of lift that favors pike S on Euro . Lift is still maxed over SE PA . My guess would be realistically 8-10 for that S of pike crowd with maybe 12" SW ct
My guess is 10-16 SW areas 7-12 otherwise . Seems more realistic as this Maxes SW of SNE and is weakening on approach
That is a very solid storm for most in SNE , w S Shore just Inland Having best shot of 10-12 for eastern areas
I wouldn’t want this much slower to begin in central and eastern SNE, just means it’s going to town more SW
If you look at the mid level max goodies they been from E Pa to NW NJ and somewhat SW CT for a day now
Ted Weaker for most in SNE On 6z
has looked best for E PA for about 10 runs
when it tucks it deposits its load NW in Deform dandy
it tucks off S NJ
we seen this movie
Nam does get that finger of lift today into Boston metro for a decent period of precip from 10-2 or something close . It maybe something to watch in regard to slick spots ... it’s really into 128 as well . Maybe Modeled too far Nw but could surprise a couple folks today
Ya, there will be shifts but SW CT just off the coast has looked good for many many runs in a row and that probably won't change soon. Danbury Ct has about same latitude as Newport RI and decent elevation in spots... Just lookin ha.
For N of pike folks
The GFS just won't budge much with that high .
This run at 3z Thursday am the 1028 pressure contour on GFS is like Nashua to portsmouth Nh.
On the Nam run at the same time frame that contour is up from Phin to Saddleback Maine. I.E much less of a High exerting its press on the precip shield.