STILL N OF PIKE
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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE
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Nice snow bomb just away from coast . there is some semblance of models sniffing out a retro storm now on euro /gfs/ cmc yoi can see more indications on gfs and cmc and euro of the stale marine airmass over SE Canada and NE Maine in this period . Jerry’s elephant One persistent thing is that Cali trough . Gfs has it for basically next 300 hours . Look at the 540 line just buried into between SF and oscillating down toward LA the next 12 days
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Nobody cares until it shows a big snow storm then everyone that Doesn’t care celebrates . Both sides are sorta entertaining . One in a obvious way , one more subtle . It’s the same ..every year .
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Do you recall we saw about 15 mid level lows take that track a couple years ago . Might have been 18-19 or 19-20 . Mostly disheveled weaker system thou and the rain snow line was just south of dentrite for about 8 events
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I would call Boxing Day a major win if we get a warning level event out of this upcoming pattern . Warning snows with lollipops to 15+
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Jesus
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Ya been flakes in Nashua occasionally since 2 . Light mood stuff
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I think it’s partially that and partially that people have been talking and posting about this period now a solid week but it seems the Chance increase that the good pattern got kicked back today Another couple days , so we maybe kinda waiting and hoping for la la land (2 week out period to hold ) that is part of it , maybe it’s not . But I’m really just more having fun with posts today , it’s a long wait
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That wouldn’t shock me , The volatility on the runs is going to be so extreme and if the feature of west coast heights getting lower after the 10’th solidifies ill be adjusting a tad downward . Nothing dramatic but just noting . I honestly really just want the cutters to stop raining all over ski country every 3 days And I’ll be pretty content .
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Will posting 360 hr clown maps Seems like a contrarian signal
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It depends where you live so I dunno , can you see further out than 2 weeks thou
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I think we can push things back to say the 14’th or so and nobody will blink
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You do have to like the OP tease at day 9 on euro with Jerry’s elephant of marine puke air from Caribou to East port with rains there and snows SW . That warms the cockles of the heart .
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We know the pattern is still good till forky starts posting in the forum
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Plenty of decent squalls in CNE/NNE currently
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If needed we can just push that back to it merges with next relaxation phase kidding but you don’t want a trend pushing back and back for a week , we aren’t there but it’s not a good look were that to play out in future (not saying It will !)
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For sure .
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I mean that GFS op run was frighteningly ugly lol. Was just a different flavor of dog doo then our current one Thankfully we all agree it’s tossed Currently
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That gfs storm on the 13’th is a beaut . Part of me wants to see that play out . It’s waaay out in Lala land but its part of the red flags that I think tip was alluding to can occur
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I don’t think that is accurate will mentioned it was close to being a lot more wintry for more of the forum if we could get the PV press 100-200 miles south at an 8 day lead time on Tuesday it just hasn’t trended that way in last 36 hrs
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That radar loop could be titled “tips cosmic dildo- no lube “
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I agree with Ray, burial FTW
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90% of the focus seems to be on the -Nao but as far as folks having realistic snow dreams and even setting them.. Are you are implying the success of the block (making weenies happy ) is going to be significantly correlated to the amount of +PNA ridging That comes to fruition
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Ha thats at 1:46-48 and lol . He likes the cold , it will keep his bodies on ice into spring .
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Can you speak with Santa
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The reason why many have said to not anticipate feet out of coming pattern is because at this lead time and being early to mid December climo there are gonna be plenty of caution flags even inherent in a very good look. There is Also a reason we don’t average 120-150 “ So we just should Stay hopeful but realize systems could miss us or play out poorly even during the good period and some likely will . I just want to maintain an Active look to the upcoming period . That is key
