This won’t be powder for anyone and to be honest I don’t think the resorts want powder given how bare most non snow making trails are . They want something with “meat “ that will stick to the grass or the harder man Made conditions on the few trails resorts have had open that are still decent .
Ya it does, better track and just missed changing over pretty hard in the 128- Merrimack valley belt . BL temps a hair too warm as 925 tickles 1c just to W of ORh up to MHT for 6-7 hours but man I would have to think if this airmass was better that is warning snows for 128
One thing about that high pressure Positioning is that at least it doesn’t look to really retreat from Eastern Quebec Or elongate SE , it sort of just stays there prior to and during and after storm , just weakens a few MB as storm approaches
I mean it can’t keep torching xmas time close to as often as it seems to have lately . I would take the over on Xmas winter conditions because the bar has been set so low due to recent Xmas torches
I have a question on the block .. I never look at the indexes But the nao is actually rising to neutral for this event .. I understand the domain is very wide ..but with that NAO rising on index Wednesday-Saturday is the correction vector not effected and we just have a sorta pseudo -NAO for this system that will act like a strong block will or the block was in place long enough regardless of rising next few days
It’s the jma and ya the H is in a good spot but the orientation is pure garbage as it’s oriented SE into gulf of Maine and to add insult the return flow just West of that high is screaming north as the squeeze play from the Minnesota low aids that
There was really only one good euro run for a decent part of SNE yesterday at 12z
looks like a Berks S VT Monads to Whites deal with that ULL and antecedent airmass needing many in Sne to almost thread the needle . But I say almost bc we still got 5 days to trend this
Often People see what they want to see
the base case is an interior hit (which doesn’t mean 20 miles from coast) a good area that will likely help is where the elevation increases from west side of ORH and KFIT to 15 miles west of ASH
could do better for areas closer to COastal plain or could do worse and be mostly rain for ORH KFIT Concord NH etc