Matthew70

9 minutes ago, WishingForWarmWeather said:

I'm ****ing baffled bro. Trying to figure out how much snow Clarksville area will get and

 

 

I would expect 1-2”.  More than that would be a nice surprise. Hopefully it is more for all of TN.

I’m still laughing at this forecaster out in northern MS.  He has the whole area even up to Nashville with nothing to 1”.  .  Then a small heavier band.  Very small.  He’s making sure he’s right. That way someone gets nothing to 1”. He can say nailed it. 

1 minute ago, Chattywarmnose said:

That lady sucks

That station does.

6 minutes ago, jaxjagman said:

Must have misunderstood them ?

 

https://x-default-stgec.uplynk.com/ausw/slices/ee7/9ca48a3b38ef42538c6fe52a659b1e99/ee7285d0e2154bcdb24834083b254559/ee7285d0e2154bcdb24834083b254559_e.mp4

Thanks.  She’s annoying.  I watch WSMV.

1 hour ago, *Flash* said:

Not sure I follow. What stations are saying under an inch for BNA?

Channel 5

32 minutes ago, bearman said:

Just as I predicted earlier.  The valley is totally surronded with wsw.  LOL.  

 

Is say you will see a lot of those WSW dropped for west & Middle TN tonight.

56 minutes ago, Shocker0 said:

NWS in Nashville raised my low from 27 to 32 on Saturday night, and the high on Sunday from 30 to 36 in the last hour. Yikes.

Yeah I’d say this storm is not happening in Nashville.  Local stations now saying maybe an inch at best.  I’m thinking Sunday maybe more sunny & warmer.  Heck Saturday maybe dry also if HRRR is correct.

Beautiful here in mid state also.  I could use a pretty weekend like today to cut some bushes out.

Lol.  Gotta love TN wx.  If Euro goes south & less frozen precip.  I would expect WSW by OHX to be dropped. 

At this rate the euro is last remaining hope.  Which lately it’s not been so king. Sunny & cool weekend I can handle. 

6 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said:

Hrr at its furthest brings the whole system south nothing in Tennessee at 48hrs 

I would think the precip filled more to the north.  I mean that just looks so not right.  Like a brick wall at the TN border. 

Solid 2-4” for whole state.

4 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

GEFS went the other direction

Strange.  

21 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

18z Euro moved north a little

I just can not figure out wx forecasters.  Have they lost their minds like the whole govt. has?  Channel 5 WTVF here in Nashville is saying 1-3” & the plateau trace to an 1”.  What model shows that for the plateau?  We wonder why no one believes them when they say severe wx. Here is why.  I would love to “Here’s your sign”.

16 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

They don’t know. They literally said “your guess is as good as mine” to where the snow sets up at. They also said the mods are all over the place with the track. I’m not clamoring to be something I’m not but I felt like multiple mods where very similar in the track now. Maybe that’s not true though.


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I agree.  Not sure what they expect. Also when did any snow accumulations over 8” become unbelievable & that stuff on the internet? 

I will take my chances with a panhandle FL low here for all of TN.  Most likely more amped it becomes the more NW it trends. Take a blend of gfs & euro & it’s a TN special. 

12 minutes ago, RawCrabMeat said:

MRX - WWA south of 40 looks for up to 2"

welp, underwhelming again it looks like. 2 straight busts

 

i think Knox co is in the 2-4" WWA

I take 2” & cash out. 

6 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

GFS finally loaded on pivotal 

Is this on a 10:1 ratio?

Merry Christmas to ALL! 

9 hours ago, jaxjagman said:

Doing ok,had a stroke in my left eye,hard to read but its getting better,docs said it will take months to heal,other that everything is ok.,hope all is well with you

Really sorry to hear this Jax.  I hope you have a full recovery.  Never heard of a stroke in eye.

On 5/8/2021 at 6:54 PM, PowellVolz said:

Strange pattern we are in right now. Bermuda grass is struggling.


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Really strange.  What a cool to cold spring.  

3 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

12 minutes ago, Matthew70 said:

To think in high risk outlook in MS nothing again.  To me we’ve got a long ways to go to ever understanding weather.  I wonder if SPC throws out too many warnings and watches too easily. 

Warnings are real-time as cells evolve. Meso scale discussions and lead time watches are warranted based on synoptic reasoning and conditions that have been suggested by high res modeling and severe parameters. Two seperate entities. Too early to downplay threats when it's not even 22z yet for central areas.

Understand but anything happening in MS is slim.  I wonder if our Hi res models need a reset.  If this underperforms which would be great.  Then something is wrong with our forecasting.  Chances of people taking any other threats this spring seriously is greatly diminished.

To think in high risk outlook in MS nothing again.  To me we’ve got a long ways to go to ever understanding weather.  I wonder if SPC throws out too many warnings and watches too easily. 

12 minutes ago, Chip said:

This outcome would be terrible but I would hint this solution would be on he upper end when looking at others

Absolutely agree.  That’s not going to happen.

10 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Oh my....





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Oh heck no