Matthew70

I will say come on spring.  Give me warm rains.  Ice and sleet sucks.  I hate winter anymore.  After seeing the videos of the Ft. Worth pileup just with a .10 of ice. No thanks.  Bust models.  

That’s just cruel.  Winter hates mid TN.  It would take forever for that much sleet to melt.  Tornadoes to ice dams in gutters.  Unreal. Plus roof damage.

1 minute ago, John1122 said:

0z GFS. 

How reliable is the GFS this close to the event?

Just hope this is not where Middle TN watched East and now West TN enjoy winter while we continue with cold rains even next week.

Very sad to think parts of TN if this happens a disaster area.  The landscape will be forever changed.  Tornadoes now this.  

It was 46 at Clarkesville state line at Hopkinsville it was 44 now at Cadiz Kentucky it’s 35.  I’ve been watching my thermostat on my truck now two more miles north is 33

Right when you then we’re moving in right direction. Whip lash back other way.  

I will say this forum is wonderful and definitely great posters here to learn from.  I thank each and everyone of you.

34 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

I absolutely agree with that and I understand your frustration living in the mid state where you all have hit a dry spell the last 10 years. We in Knoxville usually share that same frustration but this season has been a good one for us. My location is a good one for living in the valley but 4 to 5 times a year I can drive 20 minutes and be in a completely different climate while back at my house it’s 33 and rain. It sucks but it is what it is. I wouldn’t trade living in ETn for nothing even though I’m always on the outside looking in. Your time will come, just keep a positive outlook and enjoy the ride.


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I loved living in East Tn growing up.  Miss my mountains.

4 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

 

Would you rather us not conversate about the weather more than a day or two before a system gets here? IMO there’s something very satisfying about tracking a storm 10 days out and walking it home. I’ve learned a lot just this year in the 5-10d range with the mods tendencies and biases.


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Not at all saying not to discuss.  I love wx but winter wx is extremely hard to forecast.  Maybe it’s me but to me winter forecast are much harder than any other season to forecast. 

Call me skeptical.  Another 7-9 day chance at winter wx.  The mirage stays at that distance and never gets closer.  Try to keep positive but after 3 winters the same eventually become woke and say just a mirage. 

38 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Had I known it was going to be this nice in Knoxville today I would have played golf.
 

 

 

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It was 62 in Knoxville today?  Sheesh here in Nashville barley above freezing.

It is pretty crazy four days ago it was predicted to be sunny and 55 here then two days ago it was 45 and cloudy now the high is 32 to 33 and cloudy.

7 minutes ago, Blue Moon said:

You are a Debbie Downer on every single forum.

Well growing up with snow and never seeing it.  Well it gets to one.  Being a realist is not being a downer.  We bit on the gfs and really should know better.  Take a look many others are frustrated in mid TN and west TN.  It’s not just me. 

Well GFS and CMC are all alone and most likely will come back to reality any day now.  Warm rains are on the way. 

Amazing reports in GA and SC and NC with 2-3”.  Snow dome over Mid and west TN going strong.

Any EPS mean members to be posted?

Will be interesting what the Doc says.  He may say 75 and severe storms with way he’s been going.  

I feel sorry for the forecasters this week.  Sheesh.  The GEFS mean seems to be trending colder again.  Now most of state is in more ice.  What a cluster to try and forecast.

2 minutes ago, John1122 said:

The snow and ice lines will move back and forth and likely won't be known until within 24-48 hours if even then. But there's a lot of cold and a lot of precip flying around over the next 10-14 days. 

Well looks like Nashville and Chatty get the middle finger lol.  

Just now, John1122 said:

Actually fairly warm rain. It's a very sharp divide on either side of the front. 

Appreciate.  Flooding rains in order possibly. From all indications the pattern flips to warm solidly in couple weeks.  After another disappointing minor snow events I am ready. 

1 minute ago, John1122 said:

Long duration and slow buildup is the worst case scenario. 

I take it rest of state is in cold rain while that happens?

9 minutes ago, John1122 said:

GFS still honking wide spread frozen events over the next week. Basically the entire forum will see some kind of frozen precip over the next 7-8 days and the cold will be stiff. At one point there's snow falling with Temps in the upper single digits and low 10s. Exactly where will not likely be determined until it's falling. Especially the freezing rain/sleet possibilities. But the cold is almost always further south and east than modeling indicates when they happen. 

When does it start for middle TN?  Is the snow dome staying strong?

To say this would not be catastrophic and dangerous with that much ice and cold temps to me is an understatement.

Sheesh.  So tornadoes and Damaging winds and now ice.  Seriously I think we’ve had enough damage