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MikeB_01

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Everything posted by MikeB_01

  1. Just like the euro. Model watching games are in full effect right now
  2. I think the precip coming down a little bit is due to the trough being a little flatter than it was on previous runs. Regardess of what the snowfall totals are on this run, the energy remained relatively the same
  3. At hour 60 little further west and stronger. Both are better for us. Not a huge improvement, but better than GFS/Can
  4. Honestly, that 12z run of the RGEM is better than the previous 00z and 6z The position of the energy and the low is further west. The precip shield isn't as impressive, but im not too worries about that. Keep watching the energy
  5. First one with true samplings is probably 00z tonight. Just speculating though.
  6. I know it’s not a weather point, but this snow looks awesome in the Christmas lights... I feel like it’s been a while since we’ve have a nice December event with all the lights up .
  7. Honestly, chances for 4+ looking pretty good. I will say, I am a little nervous and skeptical about this one. Relying on the backend of a system to cool the column enough to start snowing is something that I have a hard time relying on. It just never seems to happen fast enough without drying out the column at the same time. Model support seems good this time, but i wouldn't be surprised to see the low end of these amounts either.
  8. It’s been years. I feel like September has been August 2.0. This is refreshing. .
  9. Haha this would be too typical in the winter, but it also feels like this is the way summer is going too. I wish there was a metric to determine how much thunderstorm activity we’ve had this summer. I know it has been try, but I feel like we’ve really lacked those nice afternoon boomers as well. Maybe just me in the south hills? .
  10. What time are we thinking here? 2-2:30? I was going to try to sleep for a little before .
  11. 10 year anniversary of a major screw job... https://projects.ncsu.edu/atmos_collaboration/nwsfo/storage/cases/20091218/
  12. Atmosphere is looking loaded for tomorrow afternoon. Even though the sounding is saying "Tor" I am not sure i buy that. Not enough directional shear for it imo. Damaging straight line winds look more likely
  13. Noticed they uped it to Enhanced at the for the latest outlook. Saturday is looking juiced up and ready to go as well.
  14. Anyone else already tired of Jeff V on twitter? All I hear about it "No hype" / "No Fearcasting". Great, that is really appreciated. Some stations are notorious for fearcasting, I get it. But come one, he didn't even start talking about accumulating snow until Friday night. He was still saying "snow shower".
  15. F Boston and their 12" snow storm. They complained all year and it looks like they will be rewarded with it. They got a decent hit today and another one coming tomorrow
  16. How bad has the NAM been at temp profiling this winter? 12Z nam still had freezing rain at the onset of the precip tonight. My house in already at 33°. Well before any precip makes it to the area.
  17. Does every system have to cut through Ohio? Like watching a bunch of bowling balls roll through
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