the_other_guy
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Everything posted by the_other_guy
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whatever it’s doing, it’s coming down real heavy now. If this rate continues even with sleet, we’re getting a good covering here -
just to add there is nothing unflyable about any of the weather moving in. If they don’t cancel the flight, just go through the deicing period and she’ll be fine. More annoying than anything else. this isn’t a door slamming event like a blizzard or or a hurricane where things are gonna shut down
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I don’t understand the hysteria on this thread. My forecast hasn’t budged from national weather service or AccuWeather at all. I think you guys are getting too caught in slight shifts in the models. Secondly, I just sold nuts outside of a supermarket in Hastings for two hours…. Thank you, Boy Scouts…. Nothing hysterical at the supermarket at all. Typical saturday Thankfully, the general public is less hysterical than the people posting in this forum.
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This is not going to happen. No way at all.
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Gradient storms. Guys rooting for this setup…I think they are crazy personally. Always want the cold air on your side
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That means you have a marginal setup haha
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Same map further south. They have the same higher accumulations to the north.
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I’m gonna take the under on this storm especially after this week with the models. I’m especially gonna take the under for the city. if I walk away with close to 4 inches in Westchester, I’ll be pleasantly surprised. If I walk away with more than 4 inches I’m gonna be shocked.
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This is gradient life boys. 40 degrees out this morning. What exactly do you want in concreteville?
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Pouring. Turned into a real rainy day. Models real blew this one epically…and I had a lot of ice this morning
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This. Marginal events dont do well in NYC. Too close to coast, flat terrain, too much cement. Im 30 miles north and today still woefully under performed. They will find a map that they love and run with it, but it doesnt change the outcome. And let’s face it, that .5 in CPK this morning was a BS measurement
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looks like we’re just about done unless this radar fills in. Three things happened here to fuck this: Got going to late They’re just isn’t a lot of precip The warm tongue under modeled
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Sums up the current situation N and W. Ill add region wide Schools closed
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If it starts raining I would say its a fail. As of now most of the region has heavy sleet…nothing to scoff at
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if this was a larger storm, it would have the potential to be like that 2007 Valentine’s Day mess. Echoes of that N and W
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City is gonna bust so badly in this nowcast. JFK already rain and 33F Will be interesting to see which model called it in the end
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All sleet. Changed over much quicker than thought. 28F. Going to be an ugly morning
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Much different when you leave the city. When I lived in Queens, I got in the car and drove around in snow. We moved up to Westchester and it was snowing for around an hour, I decided to go to Home Depot. I got as far as the main road and was caught in pandemonium. Its the steep hills, the increased elevation and the lack of HUGE amounts of pre salt. Schools often close up here has 1-3 in hills is much worse than 1-3 on grassy surfaces in the Urban Jungle
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I don’t understand why we keep talking about storms two weeks from now. There’s snow coming in tomorrow night. There may be more snow on Sunday. There are real events at our doorstep and we are chasing phantom possibilities on the 16th that can only lead to disappointment. I dont get the psychology behind it. In my experience on here, if you are looking at a perfect setup 10 plus days out…it isnt going to work out as depicted
