CNY-WXFREAK

80/20 I would say so it must be coming in from the NW cause, cause Fulton went first then Phoenix, now it my turn then yours I'd imagine.

It's coming down now.  Its gotta be snowing near you Bri, no?  If not hen it can't be far behind.

1 minute ago, Syrmax said:

Absolutely yes 

I understand and seems very plausible I suppose.  If anything, it'll be fzdz as temps should fall below freezing tomorrow night.

Oh, and WNY is getting the shallaking they deserve.  I could care less about KROC , nah, you guys dewserve a good one to but I can't understand why we don't deserve one, lol?

1 minute ago, Syrmax said:

Believe me, I'm ok with a few slushy inches. WNY deserves a good dump though.  I was ready for golf 2 weeks ago.  I wrote this one off a day ago.

I know yo did especially with a commute to KALB, ugly to say the least, thats if you go.

I'm over to mostly parachutes now, so now the fun begins, and lets see where we end up by tomorrow 18Z.  Even though its snowing I don't think it'll start to accumulate till at least 3AM perhaps later so thats not good news.

i also just posted about the transfer and robbing it of its energy so I completely understand, trust!

1 minute ago, Syrmax said:

Think RGEM and other models snow hoke in CNY due to the xfer process...if I wasn't lazy at  I'd post the NAM Skew-T's. This starts and ends liquid here.

I just did, the 18Z but I didn't go any further.  So your saying it ends as a light rn drizzle type ****e?

18Z tomorrow, temp of 29 with S+

Actually light snow with small non accumulating flakes, so you could be right especially with the <arch SUN ANGLE. lol!

1 minute ago, Syrmax said:

I have 41 and also rain. We have a few hour window for snowfall until early afternoon. After the precip rate drops off the BL turns whatever is falling back to liquid.

Nothing I looked at, saw or read said any of this but you may very well be right.  I saw a high tomorrow of 31 for KFZY so I guess we'll see!  Warning goes till 1AMN from KBGM which is quite surprising. anyway I'm still oprtimistic for at least 8" here so we'll see bruh!

Every so often a parachute will mix in, lol!

1 minute ago, CNY_WX said:

Looks like it’s trying to flip but still mostly rain. Temp has dropped to 36. 

Same here and its all snow in KFXY, go figure.  Do they have any sort of elevation in and around Fulton?  I think up near the airport is a bit higher.  I'm at 495' which means nothing but they can be a bit higher.  Wouldn't take much at all.

Now this is a classic Negative Tilt to the atmosphere producing intense lift!

H300

H500

I'm just hoping there isn't a Coastal that quickly rips away the energy over the area as that is a distinct possibility, but rather I'd love to see this morph onto a stacked ULL right over NYC and let it sit and spin for 6-10 hrs as that would be the most ideal situation but not likely.  Its beginning its transfer, but should do so slowly, or at least thats what the guidance shows.  I stiill think there will be some definite surprises with this monster IMO.

1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Yo WOWu can still see the spin just near NY/PA border

 Especially on the enhanced WV imagery, just WOW!

This beast is seriously amped with thunderstorm like convection billowing around the center of the SLP, which is is NWPA and hauling azz East, but it should slow as it realizes it really has nowhere to go just yet, lol!

The flip has begun, yay.

Just now, Syrmax said:

Dude we rain. Temp has gone up 2 degrees in last 2 hours. This is a yawner here. Let's enjoy WNY's storm for a change! And SNE's virtual storm. 

Your a funny guy!  Your gonna wake up to 6"+, of concrete, lol!
+

Just now, wolfie09 said:

All snow here ...

Really?  Awesome, lol!  We're all good then.

Not concerned at all as those 60 degree days felt real good!

2 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Bruh, Soundings show a brief shot of snow here after rain. Hills a diff story.  I just realized this is a separate storm thread. LOL.  How New Englandish to have one.  Eww.

So your expecting mostly rain then I suppose? Not buying Teske's 8-12" for YBY?

So it started as snow everywhere else in NYS except here in Oswego County? Do both of you guys, Max and CNY, have rain falling or a mix?

And the rain has begun and heavy right off the bat with a temp of 38F.

Look at how the warm air gets tucked in just to the SE of the Lake right over my house, lol

We're jealous over here, lol, as we patiently wait for our rain to begin. 

28 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

Still nothing here. 37/33.

I'll give it another hour an it'll be pounding rain here with a quick changeover, I hope, but the new discussion out of KBGM says it will rain till mid morning before changing over SE of the lake along the lake plain but I just can't see that happening but anything can happen here and its not usually good.  Good for all you guys who are experiencing a hybrid Nor'Easter, lol, as I have experienced about 20 while living in Jersey City.