CNY-WXFREAK

I have a good feeling we're gonna see quite a few of these type of systems this yr. Its really not gonna take much to pull that cold air down over the top of this moisture. This would be a monster, man what a miss!

There's a ton of moisture with this system too, wow! If only it was the middle of December.

1 hour ago, wolfie09 said:

Definitely potential for some backend flakes..

Interesting!

Flakes are flyin, a stray flake here and there, lol.  That band looks like its gonna stay put right through the finger lakes overnight so its a lock they see their first flakes of the season.

yes we will, so I don't expect anything till after 06z at the earliest.

Wicked band just developed on a WNW flow, WOW. I wish it was Early December

With these 850's down to near -10C 06z Thurs through about 18z, with a mean flow out of the NW veering with time into the WNW, there should be some kind of frozen precip around the area, especially at higher elevations, The lake plain should see some action as well with those kinds of temps.  The Tug is likely looking at their first trace to 2" like I said a couple days ago as temps have actually trended a bit lower than they were first progged a couple days ago.  This weekend there's even a better shot at accumulations for primarilly the Tug, as a deep trough drops out of the upper mid west through the area with highs approaching 522dm and that's definitely abnormally low for this time of year for sure.  Too bad there's no real moisture there to interact with these shots of below normal air, the first of the season but certainly not the last.