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CNY-WXFREAK

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Posts posted by CNY-WXFREAK

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 
    
An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday
night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the
region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this
period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is
possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds
will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow
along with poor visibility.

    broad brushing from this far out.

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    You all better really enjoy this event cause according to the GEFS winter's just about over after this next transient shot of Bitterly cold air thats accompanied by nothing but cold air cause its too darn cold for the atmosphere to hold any WV, oh well, enjoy!!  PNA turns negative again and floods the whole nation with pacific maritime air!

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Just now, wolfie09 said:

    Yea the globals say we do this once again tue-thur on a west/wsw flow..Lets see how this one can hit the crapper lol

    I noticed P&C showing 4"-8" here but only 1"-2" in DT Altmar 3.5 miles south, going to be close..

    Pops already increased to likely for said "potential" LES event..

    Monday Night
    Snow. Low around 9. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
    Tuesday
    Snow. High near 31. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
    Tuesday Night
    Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 8. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
    Wednesday
    Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 12. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Wednesday Night
    Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around -5. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Thursday
    A chance of snow showers. Cloudy and cold, with a high near 9. Chance of precipitation is 50%

    Hows that even possible with a SLP to our East?  weird, but I've seen weirder, with the weather!  Thats interesting and would love to see it unless once the system passes, the one from Mon-Tues, heads to the ESE instead of NE like the models are showing.

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    13 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

    Just started snowing heavily here in the last 5 minutes. The orientation of the band to the southwest gives me hope it might last here a little longer than 10 minutes. 

    Nah, very doubtful, lol as mine lasted 10 and now the suns out dimmly and will soon see true Sun as these 2 bands really get going and it does nothing but blow exhaust in between so the next few days will be cold and boring except for the 10-20 minute squall we'll get in between now and then, lol!

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Super heavy snow from Erie, thanks for the lovin E!

    MD 53 graphic

    Mesoscale Discussion 0053
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0919 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019

   Areas affected...portions of western and northern New York

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 251519Z - 252015Z

   SUMMARY...Lake Effect snow bands will bring periods of heavy snow
   and reduced visibility today across parts of western and northern
   NY. Snowfall rates around 1 inch per hour are possible and may
   extend downstream into parts of central and northern.

   DISCUSSION...West-southwest surface to 850mb flow is noted in
   surface observations as well as 12z regional RAOBs and 88-D VWP
   data. This has resulted in two lake effect snow bands stretching
   across parts of western and northern NY. Heavy snow with rates
   around 1 inch per hour has been reported this morning, with heavy to
   moderate snow stretching well downstream of the immediate lake shore
   areas. In fact, 1 inch per hour rates were reported in Madison
   County around 14z. Westerly flow rapidly increases from around 10-20
   kt at the surface to near 40 kt around 1 km. Favorable orientation
   across the lakes and strong low level flow should allow these snow
   bands to continue through the day and persist well downstream toward
   the western Adirondacks. It is possible that closer to Lake Ontario
   and Lake Erie that snowfall rates may even exceed 1 inch per hour at
   times. 

   Slight shifts to the north or south of low level winds may result in
   some small shifts in the heaviest snow bands, but the current
   location of the two bands impacting the MCD area should remain
   fairly steady-state through the day. As a result, anyone traveling
   north-south across western into central/northern NY could see rapid
   changes in snow intensity and visibility. In addition to these heavy
   lake effect bands, the surface pressure gradient is quite strong
   across the region and surface winds around 15-25 mph with some
   higher gusts will be possible for much of the day. Conditions are
   not expected to improve until later tonight.

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Just now, TugHillMatt said:

    As much as I would love that, I don't see it. Too far south. Looks like North Redfield, Worth, and Adams will get it.

    You'll see as the CF makes its way later this morning it'll start to head South for 3-6hrs and Pound Central Oswego counties with ground Zero being over you!  This is what I'm thinkin and I'm stickin to it, lol!

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