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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    I am in Garden City. We were all Snow thrugh 11pm when it started pouring sleet. Feel asleep after that. Wat happened overnight? Did we ever flip to rain?
  2. mikem81
    Low is still offshore and has been 25-50 miles east of most models all day. Wonder how this plays out now that it seems to be taking over and initial WAA precip is transitioning to the coastal....
  3. mikem81
    Was Not expecting a dry slot so quickly. Looks like NYC west all drying up... coastal starting to take over??
  4. mikem81
    WOw, Radar just went dead
  5. mikem81
    I like that the Low placement is still along the coast and has still not gone inland. Hope this continues
  6. mikem81
    Snowing hard here in Garden City
  7. mikem81
    Didnt know they still existed. Those are great for storms that are well east if you still want to find a model that will show Snow. Guess they can be used for trends as they are a blend of the short term models that run with the Nam
  8. mikem81
  9. mikem81
    Thanks. Always hated this damn thing, but it works
  10. mikem81
    Right now Temp stuck at 31 here in Western nassau. DP up to 15 from 5 this morning. Cant get better pre snow spread than that this time of year
  11. mikem81
    We want the Low to basically stop south of Cape May and then occlude/weaken which would force everything east instead of north.
  12. mikem81
    I tease in a good way. Trust me, I am on Western Long Island and want all snow, but.....
  13. mikem81
    Its hard to take you seriously with the "super weenie" title. We all know what you want to happen. Need to look at actual observations at this point and see what is going on with HRRR I find it encouraging that it is keeping the LP right on the coast of the CH Bay at 0Z tonight as opposed to 25 miles inland, but we shall see......
  14. mikem81
    Posted a 10:1 snow map for a storm that has mid level temp issues is criminally negligent.
  15. mikem81
    I am also a Queens/Long Island guy. I know sleet all too well... In this setup you actually have the cold air bleeding in from the Northeast. Sleet might actually hit areas west of NYC before Long Island. Really all depends on the orientation of the upper level lows and exact track
  16. mikem81
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17&parm=pmsl&underlay=1&source=1# Great site...
  17. mikem81
    Look at the surface conditions and the HRRR at this point....
  18. mikem81
    You can see that around 4 of the members are too close to the coast near NJ and the others are in perfect position (excluding the 4 that are sun-tanning in bermuda) You
  19. mikem81
    Its also a weak LP. we are talking about 1004 maybe gets to 999 when it hits NJ
  20. mikem81
    Strange how the HP is coming in stronger each run (1039 on latest EURO) and in similar position yet the relatively weak LP just shoves north so easily....
  21. mikem81
    EURO has LP in mid virginia
  22. mikem81
    Welcome to early winter on Long Island!!
  23. mikem81
    At this point, I would be very surprised if NYC broke 6 inches. Unless models back off on the amped track of the storm its some front end snow for 4-5 hours of snow and then sleet/rn and dry slot at this point.
  24. mikem81
    Anyone know what is causing a relatively weak LP (barely sub 1000) to head NW as opposed to NE?
  25. mikem81
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