TullyHeel
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Everything posted by TullyHeel
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Under a Winter Storm Watch now.
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The gradient for Wake is funny. And 10.3 for Durham, but 3.9 for Raleigh.
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Looks like the ice is worse as you go from Raleigh to Charlotte. Maybe the snow up this way will be more then.
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Maybe letting the cold air get in place longer before the precip arrives could end up being a good thing.
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Looks like he increased totals a bit.
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You can get arrested for that.
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Euro looks almost identical to the GFS ensemble mean.
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Well, if Cold Rain says they are garbage, that's good enough for me.
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Yeah, even if you cut that in half, it's a good one.
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Good thing they are garbage.
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Crazy to see a mean like this. 10 plus inches for Raleigh westward.
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Noted
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FV3 4 Life
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All the ensembles I have seen show Wake getting a big storm.
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They would take the same approach no matter what.
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I'd put 3 to 6 in the 1 to 3 and 6 to 10 in the 3 to 5 to be on the safe side
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I'll take any of the models. Most appear to have 6 to 12 inches of snow for me. Heck, I'd take about 4 inches of snow and some ice mixed in, too.
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That area they have circled looks too conservative to me. I think at least 4 to 6 of snow with ice on top.
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I think we could get 6 to 8 of snow with some ice on top.
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If the FV3 got this right, the totals will be huge. It has been very consistent.
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The model runs continue to look fantastic. Great to see them stay consistent or get even better the closer we get.
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I just don't. Why do you think it will be?
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I don't think the warming aloft will be as bad as you think. I think we will get a good thump of snow like Allan said, 4 to 6 inches, before getting some ice on top of it.
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Naw, y'all got that here already.
